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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,186,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,092,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c263,094$31,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,165.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c154,908$20,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Yes12c153,387$18,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,531.381936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c115,496$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,249.8356410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes12c92,319$11,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,17530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes13c84,615$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9912210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes13c77,467$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes12c76,259$9,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,151.0878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes0c50,833$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes12c41,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007229.2%21 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes13c40,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes13c38,462$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c36,142$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes13c25,385$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes12c18,002$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.235514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes12c17,475$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0971567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes12c15,547$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.677429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes12c11,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3209218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa1…e412backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…803bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Yes12c8,237$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c7,583$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9106729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes12c7,566$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.922,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes13c7,406$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.551,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes12c6,392$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.0956022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c6,353$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.472,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes10c5,466$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes1c5,129$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2117229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes12c4,800$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c4…ca4ebacked Yes12c3,900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.041931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Yes12c3,879$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.59337.6%35 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes6c3,292$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes12c3,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Yes12c2,994$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.336314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes12c2,850$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34235110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes12c2,833$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes12c2,750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes12c2,707$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32918128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes10c2,500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.57816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes11c2,378$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.571197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes13c2,372$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes2c2,325$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes13c2,227$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.54378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes12c2,080$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.68714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa21c…1a43backed Yes11c2,064$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2198530.6%26 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes12c1,988$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes12c1,982$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23820816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes13c1,887$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2816319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes4c1,851$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.347622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes11c1,841$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.961,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe588…c5d1backed Yes12c1,776$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1212026.7%32 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes12c1,731$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes12c1,731$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes7c1,708$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes12c1,608$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9729017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Yes12c1,590$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8423747.3%112 W · 125 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004112.2%5 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.999017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes12c1,450$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes12c1,330$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.930215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9071…4dc0backed Yes13c1,322$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.63205%1 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d1…efa2backed Yes13c1,231$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Yes12c1,208$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes4c1,200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d17…7763backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80be…7ee7backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305815.5%9 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes12c1,065$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.915026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes13c1,050$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.511230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.