Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1299a3672399edbf7c3013af05a886b9ec3034959b36ecb9171c3747a937bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,186,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,092,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 263,094$31,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,165.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 154,908$20,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked Yes | 12c | 153,387$18,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,531.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 115,496$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.83 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 12c | 92,319$11,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,175 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 13c | 84,615$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 13c | 77,467$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 76,259$9,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,151.08 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes | 0c | 50,833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 12c | 41,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 13c | 38,462$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 36,142$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 13c | 25,385$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 12c | 18,002$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.2 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 12c | 17,475$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 12c | 15,547$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.67 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 13c | 15,385$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 12c | 11,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…e412backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…803bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Yes | 12c | 8,237$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 7,583$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,566$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 13c | 7,406$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.55 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 12c | 6,392$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.09 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 6,353$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.47 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 10c | 5,466$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.52 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 1c | 5,129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 12c | 4,800$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…ca4ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…96babacked Yes | 12c | 3,879$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,292$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…facfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,994$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.33 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 2,850$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,833$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,707$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 11c | 2,378$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,372$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,325$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 13c | 2,227$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 12c | 2,080$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Yes | 11c | 2,064$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 12c | 1,988$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 12c | 1,982$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 13c | 1,887$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,851$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,841$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,776$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 12c | 1,731$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,731$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 7c | 1,708$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…e502backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…33f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,608$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Yes | 12c | 1,590$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 237 | 47.3%112 W · 125 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 12c | 1,450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,330$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…4dc0backed Yes | 13c | 1,322$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…8f82backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…efa2backed Yes | 13c | 1,231$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,208$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…7763backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…7ee7backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,065$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 13c | 1,050$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.