Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be6f5e5aa866bbaa7edd15e17c465331521eec05638c261350eeaa63c2860b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 8c | 162,875$12,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,853.26 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 104,946$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 16,173$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 1c | 11,214$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…716dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 1c | 7,770$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 6,065$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 1c | 5,770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 0c | 5,444$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 2c | 4,928$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 4c | 3,556$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed Yes | 1c | 3,426$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 3c | 3,214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 6c | 3,077$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 9c | 3,042$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…1a43backed Yes | 1c | 2,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…dd58backed Yes | 1c | 2,509$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…ef23backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 1c | 2,415$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,409$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,194$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,056$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,930$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 1c | 1,887$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 7c | 1,882$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 3c | 1,640$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,518$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…5a00backed Yes | 6c | 1,508$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…80edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,235$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7a54backed Yes | 1c | 1,206$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…af10backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 2c | 1,110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…3403backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 3c | 1,097$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…ac8fbacked Yes | 10c | 970.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 891$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 3c | 804.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 5c | 694$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 5c | 488$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…41c8backed Yes | 3c | 435.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 5c | 322.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 9c | 280.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 6c | 244$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…e5b5backed Yes | 8c | 242.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…2b08backed Yes | 9c | 216.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…cc81backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 132 | 9.8%13 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…bc71backed Yes | 8c | 125.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…0adebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.