TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c65,154$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes2c30,932$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Yes2c12,450$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2926813.2%9 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes2c5,227$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11536024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes2c4,310$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d8…94e7backed Yes2c4,252$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c3,962$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes2c3,823$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes1c3,728$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1136423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes2c3,714$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes2c3,159$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.359717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes2c3,108$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.341,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes6c3,077$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1245528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes2c3,001$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.021,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes2c2,751$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6933237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes2c2,711$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.819020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes3c2,705$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.236335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes4c2,625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c2,462$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes2c2,374$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…7adfbacked Yes2c2,273$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes3c2,157$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1135734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes2c2,145$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Yes2c2,110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3113438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9eb…1424backed Yes1c1,993$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.523348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+71.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes2c1,989$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.537320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes2c1,834$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5935621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes3c1,830$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.533538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes2c1,818$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408321.7%18 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes6c1,776$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3336139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes2c1,719$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1140515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes3c1,687$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0435136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Yes2c1,577$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.713520%27 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes2c1,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c1,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5e…ef23backed Yes2c1,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes2c1,446$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes2c1,440$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes3c1,316$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.334035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes2c1,293$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes3c1,171$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9622…c630backed Yes2c1,149$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes12c1,144$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7733937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes2c1,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes4c1,014$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c38…83d0backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick30cpaid+52.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce45…1a43backed Yes2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-40%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes2c999.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.517018.8%32 W · 138 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes2c999.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes2c952.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Yes2c949.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.887521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…3e6ebacked Yes2c924.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.422420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8e…ca88backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fae…03d6backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204012.5%5 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204015%6 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes2c900$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.713122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed No70c806.88$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.088041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes1c746$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.234020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Yes2c724.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49476.4%3 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes2c685.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes3c685$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8128134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes3c619$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.534438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes2c601.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5424825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b9…e354backed Yes2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes2c596.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes2c570.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220b…2b08backed Yes4c562.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Yes2c542.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.397617.1%13 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes2c533.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7533221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…d267backed Yes2c526.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…cdb3backed Yes2c520$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+60.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes2c509.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes2c505.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.375444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Yes2c502.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes2c499.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…3eadbacked Yes2c499.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes2c481.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…d338backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107424.3%18 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9a…65d8backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…4138backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…8497backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf52…513fbacked Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…6e35backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfc…bbd6backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes2c476.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes4c439.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Yes7c306.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.