TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auroraof BoomBoys, Aurora
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora48c136,335$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,335.121,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed BoomBoys52c31,500$16,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,289.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked BoomBoys52c30,167$15,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,775.474837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora46c17,755$8,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.7723435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c30backed BoomBoys53c16,128$8,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,547.842138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked BoomBoys52c15,375$8,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,030.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332b…af19backed BoomBoys53c13,440$7,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,123.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…d27cbacked BoomBoys53c11,344$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked BoomBoys55c9,555$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.196050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Aurora73c9,118$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.1512159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed BoomBoys27c8,523$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.219636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked BoomBoys54c7,766$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.2217946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked BoomBoys53c6,983$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.9436041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora62c6,528$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.7835850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora50c5,495$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.129556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked BoomBoys3c5,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Aurora73c5,215$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.232766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed BoomBoys28c4,348$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.395048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys26c4,300$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5971143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked BoomBoys51c4,273$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.5322543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked BoomBoys50c3,819$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90014956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed BoomBoys26c3,377$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed BoomBoys57c3,370$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.068456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed BoomBoys55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.996535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed BoomBoys53c2,978$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.383441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys49c2,908$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.951,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked BoomBoys54c2,322$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.84742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked BoomBoys53c2,240$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Aurora44c2,238$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.3811747%55 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Aurora47c2,125$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.228536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Aurora44c2,027$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.395145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb4c…6d64backed BoomBoys36c2,026$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7355147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Aurora73c2,002$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.543452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Aurora45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10013941.7%58 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora43c1,950$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BoomBoys48c1,935$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.826540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Aurora47c1,881$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.5927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Aurora45c1,658$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.7310853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked BoomBoys50c1,614$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.0412146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys24c1,538$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5820030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Aurora53c1,482$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.741020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed BoomBoys56c1,335$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.7517648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked BoomBoys55c1,292$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.514542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed BoomBoys54c1,242$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Aurora49c1,233$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.4722260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora47c1,130$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8716641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fe…5a7ebacked BoomBoys52c1,120$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Aurora45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6053946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BoomBoys48c1,084$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.837146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd2…9523backed BoomBoys53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed BoomBoys54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9918351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed BoomBoys55c999.94$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9731444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Aurora51c906$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Aurora43c834.05$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.316726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Aurora63c812.63$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.151,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Aurora53c795$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6518437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Aurora52c782.76$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.843560.5%263 W · 172 L+43.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b11…c206backed BoomBoys28c716.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed BoomBoys58c695.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed BoomBoys57c683.59$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked BoomBoys54c683.33$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3693548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Aurora52c663.74$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7941055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x722f…823fbacked BoomBoys53c660$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Aurora44c646$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.163050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed BoomBoys55c604.62$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1912335.8%44 W · 79 L-13.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed BoomBoys53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3184355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x484f…de32backed BoomBoys53c594$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed BoomBoys55c585.19$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32021353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed BoomBoys31c572.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.291866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Aurora61c570.08$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.371,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked BoomBoys53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010437.5%39 W · 65 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Aurora44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed BoomBoys51c535$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8547348.2%228 W · 245 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked BoomBoys53c534$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.024454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed BoomBoys53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26517449.4%86 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora45c474$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.491,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Aurora43c470.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.987739%30 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked BoomBoys54c470$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.859154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…7881backed BoomBoys54c442.44$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.922445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed BoomBoys52c440$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Aurora57c437.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0421941.1%90 W · 129 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked BoomBoys56c437$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5816550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed BoomBoys54c430.41$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4918247.8%87 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BoomBoys17c414.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8971142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…2183backed Aurora48c409.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.841560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BoomBoys45c388.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9387838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora45c360$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19845940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked Aurora45c360$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed BoomBoys56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…2642backed Aurora73c354.79$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Aurora73c342.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.67988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+35%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BoomBoys53c341$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8867546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BoomBoys49c329$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.31,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed BoomBoys53c327.52$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed BoomBoys53c322.45$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.913645.6%62 W · 74 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked BoomBoys51c316.69$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.519643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BoomBoys32c316.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.792846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…20ecbacked Aurora45c313.33$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.332352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.