Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15f4c1f1521dbaa66f2064b94f8e9045f5ba1093480be9318680503ed477e1be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BoomBoys, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 48c | 136,335$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,335.12 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed BoomBoys | 52c | 31,500$16,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,289.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked BoomBoys | 52c | 30,167$15,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,775.47 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 46c | 17,755$8,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,587.77 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed BoomBoys | 53c | 16,128$8,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 15,375$8,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,030.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed BoomBoys | 53c | 13,440$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 11,344$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked BoomBoys | 55c | 9,555$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.19 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 73c | 9,118$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.15 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed BoomBoys | 27c | 8,523$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.21 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 7,766$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.22 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 6,983$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.94 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora | 62c | 6,528$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.78 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora | 50c | 5,495$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.12 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked BoomBoys | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Aurora | 73c | 5,215$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.23 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed BoomBoys | 28c | 4,348$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 26c | 4,300$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.59 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked BoomBoys | 51c | 4,273$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.53 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 3,819$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed BoomBoys | 26c | 3,377$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed BoomBoys | 57c | 3,370$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.06 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed BoomBoys | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed BoomBoys | 53c | 2,978$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 2,908$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.95 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 2,322$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.8 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 2,240$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aurora | 44c | 2,238$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.38 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Aurora | 47c | 2,125$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.22 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Aurora | 44c | 2,027$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.39 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed BoomBoys | 36c | 2,026$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Aurora | 73c | 2,002$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Aurora | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 43c | 1,950$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.47 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed BoomBoys | 48c | 1,935$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.8 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 47c | 1,881$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.59 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aurora | 45c | 1,658$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.73 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,614$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.04 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys | 24c | 1,538$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,482$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed BoomBoys | 56c | 1,335$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.75 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked BoomBoys | 55c | 1,292$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.51 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed BoomBoys | 54c | 1,242$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Aurora | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.47 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,130$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.87 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…5a7ebacked BoomBoys | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Aurora | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BoomBoys | 48c | 1,084$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…9523backed BoomBoys | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed BoomBoys | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed BoomBoys | 55c | 999.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Aurora | 51c | 906$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Aurora | 43c | 834.05$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 63c | 812.63$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.15 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Aurora | 53c | 795$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Aurora | 52c | 782.76$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…c206backed BoomBoys | 28c | 716.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed BoomBoys | 58c | 695.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed BoomBoys | 57c | 683.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 683.33$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Aurora | 52c | 663.74$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…823fbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 660$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Aurora | 44c | 646$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed BoomBoys | 55c | 604.62$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed BoomBoys | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…de32backed BoomBoys | 53c | 594$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed BoomBoys | 55c | 585.19$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed BoomBoys | 31c | 572.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 61c | 570.08$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked BoomBoys | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Aurora | 44c | 550$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed BoomBoys | 51c | 535$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 534$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed BoomBoys | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 45c | 474$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Aurora | 43c | 470.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked BoomBoys | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…7881backed BoomBoys | 54c | 442.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed BoomBoys | 52c | 440$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Aurora | 57c | 437.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 437$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed BoomBoys | 54c | 430.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BoomBoys | 17c | 414.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…2183backed Aurora | 48c | 409.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 388.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 45c | 360$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked Aurora | 45c | 360$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed BoomBoys | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Aurora | 73c | 354.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Aurora | 73c | 342.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BoomBoys | 53c | 341$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BoomBoys | 49c | 329$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed BoomBoys | 53c | 327.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed BoomBoys | 53c | 322.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 316.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BoomBoys | 32c | 316.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…20ecbacked Aurora | 45c | 313.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- First Blood in Game 1?BoomBoys won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.