Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c54ac51d839179eeca367774bdb8a1e406564c409ac7e3768bf7a3204f40a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BoomBoys, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $718,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $855,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $718,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 55c | 86,545$47,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,164.81 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 48c | 36,651$17,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,682.89 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed BoomBoys | 2c | 32,608$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Aurora | 28c | 30,000$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,645.59 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 54c | 27,778$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,678.49 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BoomBoys | 38c | 14,576$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.52 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked BoomBoys | 35c | 13,092$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.62 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked BoomBoys | 72c | 12,991$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,353.05 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 54c | 11,390$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.79 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 10,532$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.74 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys | 44c | 10,020$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.87 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 53c | 10,020$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Aurora | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed BoomBoys | 44c | 9,091$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed BoomBoys | 45c | 8,923$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.57 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 48c | 8,839$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed BoomBoys | 40c | 8,688$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 8,441$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.03 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed BoomBoys | 49c | 8,222$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys | 23c | 8,203$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.29 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked BoomBoys | 47c | 8,096$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 7,351$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked BoomBoys | 39c | 6,463$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.05 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed BoomBoys | 44c | 6,175$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.24 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 6,126$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.71 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 5,930$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BoomBoys | 65c | 5,861$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.09 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BoomBoys | 2c | 5,320$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed BoomBoys | 46c | 5,210$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.76 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 55c | 5,100$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked BoomBoys | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed BoomBoys | 21c | 5,000$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.25 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.4 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BoomBoys | 23c | 4,644$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.05 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 66c | 4,604$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.35 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Aurora | 78c | 4,501$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.85 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BoomBoys | 35c | 4,271$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.83 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 4,027$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.37 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed BoomBoys | 50c | 4,004$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Aurora | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Aurora | 67c | 3,889$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.98 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Aurora | 56c | 3,582$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 54c | 3,526$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.66 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed BoomBoys | 35c | 3,525$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 3,487$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.3 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BoomBoys | 39c | 3,448$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.09 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoomBoys | 49c | 3,339$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.47 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 3,196$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.84 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 53c | 3,181$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BoomBoys | 56c | 3,106$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.89 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked BoomBoys | 37c | 3,043$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.47 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked BoomBoys | 5c | 2,966$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 36c | 2,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.12 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed BoomBoys | 66c | 2,785$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.4 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed BoomBoys | 13c | 2,773$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.89 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed BoomBoys | 56c | 2,670$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed BoomBoys | 43c | 2,600$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.43 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BoomBoys | 31c | 2,598$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.77 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed BoomBoys | 50c | 2,575$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed BoomBoys | 45c | 2,462$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BoomBoys | 49c | 2,436$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.24 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Aurora | 69c | 2,249$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.06 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked BoomBoys | 7c | 2,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Aurora | 67c | 2,145$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 71c | 2,112$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.14 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 2,092$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.47 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked BoomBoys | 30c | 2,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Aurora | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed BoomBoys | 14c | 1,934$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.38 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,888$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed BoomBoys | 13c | 1,882$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 1,877$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed BoomBoys | 46c | 1,855$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed BoomBoys | 37c | 1,800$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed BoomBoys | 73c | 1,765$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.79 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed BoomBoys | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,745$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Aurora | 56c | 1,721$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.29 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked BoomBoys | 36c | 1,689$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.29 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Aurora | 67c | 1,659$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.16 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,631$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.18 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Aurora | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed BoomBoys | 44c | 1,602$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.76 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 47c | 1,575$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.4 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…e314backed BoomBoys | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Aurora | 57c | 1,525$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.81 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 65c | 1,516$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BoomBoys | 47c | 1,500$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…6243backed Aurora | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.13 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Aurora | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 1,497$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 1,484$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked BoomBoys | 55c | 1,471$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.26 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BoomBoys | 43c | 1,459$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.37 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked BoomBoys | 18c | 1,450$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora | 26c | 1,437$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.21 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- First Blood in Game 1?BoomBoys won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.