Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d55110f3d9649d2ce1380c073d1c61a09911bcbda7a6f5f5ad30a0bfbdd129c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof BoomBoys, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 52c | 84,986$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,585.77 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 34c | 49,200$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.85 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 51c | 13,534$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.14 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed BoomBoys | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed BoomBoys | 47c | 10,331$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.53 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Aurora | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 51c | 8,620$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.56 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed BoomBoys | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed BoomBoys | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed BoomBoys | 11c | 5,551$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked BoomBoys | 13c | 5,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Aurora | 59c | 5,084$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.62 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora | 60c | 4,081$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.76 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Aurora | 61c | 4,068$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.83 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed BoomBoys | 50c | 4,063$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.73 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BoomBoys | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 3,823$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.38 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked BoomBoys | 16c | 3,800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Aurora | 70c | 3,600$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Aurora | 70c | 3,548$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked BoomBoys | 40c | 3,499$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.78 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoomBoys | 49c | 3,447$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.47 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…3911backed Aurora | 75c | 3,210$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 3,150$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Aurora | 67c | 3,134$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.33 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 3,085$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.76 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 45c | 3,072$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.81 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed BoomBoys | 38c | 3,042$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.93 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Aurora | 79c | 2,868$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.35 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…2b2fbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 2,763$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed BoomBoys | 1c | 2,461$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BoomBoys | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed BoomBoys | 48c | 2,286$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.28 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed BoomBoys | 2c | 2,283$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…cc1abacked BoomBoys | 49c | 2,040$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed BoomBoys | 6c | 2,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed BoomBoys | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed BoomBoys | 49c | 1,992$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoomBoys | 39c | 1,955$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.53 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 1,912$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Aurora | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.93 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed BoomBoys | 46c | 1,800$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,773$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.38 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys | 23c | 1,738$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BoomBoys | 35c | 1,685$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed BoomBoys | 31c | 1,615$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Aurora | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BoomBoys | 42c | 1,500$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed BoomBoys | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked BoomBoys | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed BoomBoys | 48c | 1,457$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.33 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BoomBoys | 43c | 1,444$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.46 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked BoomBoys | 22c | 1,404$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.32 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 77c | 1,306$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 1,302$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.64 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed BoomBoys | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked BoomBoys | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked BoomBoys | 26c | 1,225$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.83 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked BoomBoys | 34c | 1,203$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed BoomBoys | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,160$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed BoomBoys | 48c | 1,121$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed BoomBoys | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Aurora | 69c | 1,098$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,064$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.53 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed BoomBoys | 3c | 1,033$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed BoomBoys | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked BoomBoys | 35c | 1,009$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BoomBoys | 30c | 1,007$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Aurora | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked BoomBoys | 33c | 903.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Aurora | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BoomBoys | 49c | 900$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Aurora | 68c | 887.98$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.15 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed BoomBoys | 46c | 859.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…df2bbacked Aurora | 59c | 857.61$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed BoomBoys | 47c | 857.45$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 49c | 812.5$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.14 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 58c | 810.26$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked BoomBoys | 48c | 805.89$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 79c | 795.06$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BoomBoys | 26c | 771.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Aurora | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked BoomBoys | 49c | 702.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.07 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BoomBoys | 48c | 644.42$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Aurora | 53c | 614.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Aurora | 61c | 603.37$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BoomBoys | 26c | 593.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed BoomBoys | 7c | 551.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- First Blood in Game 1?BoomBoys won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.