Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94172960bd49e806c209ee4b5d158d777c0cabb2278ca2c64d5d20f4a0b1d734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 79,379$9,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,696.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 68,125$13,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,208.84 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 24c | 49,999$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.81 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 45,455$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 11c | 45,455$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 11c | 44,128$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 23,678$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.58 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 76c | 11,769$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.52 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 23c | 6,182$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.94 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 11c | 5,018$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,530$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.19 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 4,164$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 11c | 4,007$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.77 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 16c | 3,683$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.67 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 12c | 3,502$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…413bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,335$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 11c | 3,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 11c | 2,624$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,318$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 11c | 2,287$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.57 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 11c | 2,272$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 1,982$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 11c | 1,888$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,820$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 11c | 1,270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 11c | 1,049$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,005$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 11c | 999.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 11c | 914.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…4b59backed Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 11c | 881$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 11c | 876.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 10c | 845.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…78b0backed Yes | 11c | 709.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 634.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 534.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 3c | 522.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 5c | 511.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +14.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…8f97backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 10c | 489.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…01fbbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…6c02backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…df00backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…ec09backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75e…dc04backed Yes | 11c | 438.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +271.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 21c | 418.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…10fcbacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 11c | 381.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 12c | 369.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…c222backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 14c | 345.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked Yes | 20c | 340.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.