TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$599,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c79,379$9,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,696.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c68,125$13,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,208.842,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes24c49,999$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.8117840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes11c45,455$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes11c45,455$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes11c44,128$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c23,678$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.5856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No76c11,769$8,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.527331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes23c6,182$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9417636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes11c5,018$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.989218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c4,530$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c4,164$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4586729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes11c4,007$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.771567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes16c3,683$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.6735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes12c3,502$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2429018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes15c3,335$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes11c3,182$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes11c2,624$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c2,318$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c2,287$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes11c2,272$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c1,982$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes11c1,888$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.681197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes11c1,820$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.25315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes11c1,270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.759510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes11c1,049$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3927744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes13c1,005$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes11c999.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9932642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes11c914.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.615026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe0…4b59backed Yes11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes11c881$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9112117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes11c876.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4512923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes10c845.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes11c818.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d22…78b0backed Yes11c709.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c634.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.184,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011417.5%20 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes11c534.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes3c522.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes5c511.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ad6…8f97backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes10c489.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.934231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503030%9 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa94…6c02backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58a…6b63backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011715.4%18 W · 99 L-0.5wins0.00per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c7…df00backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1051…ec09backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+235.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011515.7%18 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75e…dc04backed Yes11c438.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+271.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes21c418.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes11c409.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e48…10fcbacked Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes11c400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes11c381.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4298439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes12c369.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9136627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec7…c222backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40667.6%5 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes14c345.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.522518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971d…19bcbacked Yes20c340.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.59537.5%4 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355012%6 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.