Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8b85f4c2842888d61f7898460e346f7a0348d623026119ebadd55efe293d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 70,713$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 14,766$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 7c | 13,629$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,258$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 7,465$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 7,193$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 5,060$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…5452backed Yes | 7c | 3,871$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,700$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,526$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 3c | 2,440$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 7c | 2,172$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 6c | 2,067$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…6225backed Yes | 8c | 1,880$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 7c | 1,715$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,643$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…5278backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 8c | 1,303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 3c | 1,276$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…26b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,257$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…78b0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,159$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…243dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…d25bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 952.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 767.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 7c | 721.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…e967backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 11c | 701$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 3c | 687.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 8c | 644.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 642.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 8c | 633.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 5c | 629$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 8c | 602.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 8c | 577$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…bf88backed Yes | 6c | 550$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 5c | 527.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…742cbacked Yes | 2c | 523.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 8c | 509.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 8c | 501$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 5c | 498$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 8c | 491$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 490$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 7c | 480$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…2430backed Yes | 8c | 471.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 8c | 469$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 9c | 464$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…4e4fbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…8764backed Yes | 8c | 377.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 375.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 5c | 366$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 20.4%30 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…a716backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 7c | 355.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.