Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44fc523d91ad5da06d2a3a9f809d27625e5d61060ded3d437ee04fb03c2df27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 7c | 205,472$14,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,383.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 13c | 90,118$11,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,295.25 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes | 20c | 87,439$17,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,519.92 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.9 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 45,069$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 35,728$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Yes | 20c | 27,816$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.29 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…e7babacked Yes | 8c | 23,722$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.57 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 21,049$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 14,174$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.18 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 10,951$8,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.46 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,421$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 19c | 6,581$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.36 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 12c | 5,252$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 21c | 4,420$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…62e0backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,128$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 79c | 3,471$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.01 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 7c | 3,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 2,660$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 25c | 2,560$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…08eebacked Yes | 7c | 2,371$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,222$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 1,917$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,654$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,524$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 9c | 1,514$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 8c | 1,435$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9364backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 7c | 1,386$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes | 8c | 1,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,256$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,186$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ae…a16dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 14c | 1,095$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…844abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 6c | 999.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 6c | 887.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 7c | 827.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 2c | 821.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…2b03backed Yes | 10c | 809.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…f072backed Yes | 7c | 803.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 773.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 2c | 755$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d69…1ccfbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…df00backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 7c | 714$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 78c | 681.37$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 6c | 665.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…3137backed Yes | 8c | 662.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 642$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 8c | 641.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 17c | 598.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…13eebacked Yes | 7c | 548$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 533.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…6225backed Yes | 7c | 528.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…5d19backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 16c | 520.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 7c | 501.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +14.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 8c | 490.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.