Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4ca9a1429cfcfeac45d0655e21f59e5c9b47473397a9410b75e5a1f7cbc1d6

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	6c	12,444$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.51	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	11,316$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes	5c	6,666$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.3	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	6c	4,186$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.88	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	6c	3,242$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.52	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	6c	2,910$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.6	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes	6c	2,400$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	6c	2,325$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.48	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	6c	1,980$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8513…789ebacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	5c	1,200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes	6c	1,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes	8c	963.75$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.1	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes	5c	899.92$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes	6c	850$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	5c	849.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	6c	786$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.16	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yes	9c	754.82$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.75	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd51…475cbacked Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes	6c	583.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	95	10.5%10 W · 85 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Yes	6c	550$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b22…72e7backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c71…a716backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	72	18.1%13 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes	6c	362.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	96	7.3%7 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes	6c	353.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	279	9.7%27 W · 252 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes	6c	350$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa0…2dd8backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1f…0035backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa873…4245backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd62…55ebbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bd…c3c8backed Yes	6c	330$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-91.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	22.6%24 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes	9c	284.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	31%27 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	6c	283.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	152	13.8%21 W · 131 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…ff5dbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	111	27.9%31 W · 80 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	273	27.5%75 W · 198 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…debbbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	91	33%30 W · 61 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb754…78a2backed Yes	6c	233.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe547…0443backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf577…160ebacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes	6c	169.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	366	27.3%100 W · 266 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event