MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3451f325145d64b1f7a7c30eaac6971906b694272bd43fdb99216d9564cc16bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $958,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 250,000$187,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,518.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 35c | 138,432$48,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,443.24 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 28c | 88,301$24,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,872.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 38,462$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,461.54 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 31,823$16,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,550.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 30,407$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,852.57 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked New York Yankees | 61c | 28,780$17,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,645.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 19,395$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,153.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 17,627$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,172.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 57c | 17,384$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Yankees | 15c | 15,393$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.88 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked New York Yankees | 20c | 15,239$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed New York Yankees | 61c | 13,550$8,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,265.71 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 13,000$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.12 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 62c | 11,805$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed New York Yankees | 15c | 11,335$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.84 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 61c | 9,500$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.98 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed New York Yankees | 58c | 8,940$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 6,932$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.85 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,348$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.93 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Yankees | 62c | 5,323$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 38c | 4,227$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 3,838$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,930$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.78 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 2,820$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.17 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed New York Yankees | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 2,421$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.08 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked New York Yankees | 25c | 2,278$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 34c | 2,229$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 2,029$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees | 37c | 2,000$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.45 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,987$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 1,776$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 1,702$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees | 32c | 1,673$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.55 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 1,601$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.32 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,560$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked New York Yankees | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 1,457$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,400$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.23 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 5c | 1,284$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,220$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.02 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,171$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.94 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Yankees | 10c | 1,166$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,164$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.78 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,107$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees | 17c | 1,050$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked New York Yankees | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 61c | 967.75$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.33 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 961.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed New York Yankees | 60c | 915.57$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 879.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.63 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 872.05$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.76 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 58c | 861.59$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.77 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked New York Yankees | 23c | 839.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 831.84$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.74 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 13c | 815.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 792.99$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 792.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.05 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 787.43$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 38c | 764.65$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 753.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 703.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed New York Yankees | 11c | 700$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 57c | 698.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked New York Yankees | 16c | 677.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed New York Yankees | 62c | 667.97$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed New York Yankees | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 664$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…7336backed New York Yankees | 9c | 627.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 622.23$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 620$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 619.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.65 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 603.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.87 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed New York Yankees | 46c | 568.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 565.59$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 545.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed New York Yankees | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 519.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed New York Yankees | 60c | 516$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.