CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f96cdac496211ab1ab5a8e8e4b9619890f512d162cf60f84172e5ddbe23a5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Vitality, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $835,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Liquid | 40c | 156,746$62,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,901.37 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Liquid | 75c | 105,209$78,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,648.5 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Vitality | 63c | 61,292$38,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,509.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid | 34c | 42,825$14,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,321.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Vitality | 65c | 30,812$20,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,032.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 63c | 27,400$17,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,287.98 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Vitality | 60c | 24,941$14,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,964.72 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Vitality | 62c | 22,485$13,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,914.44 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Vitality | 63c | 20,387$12,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,844.04 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Vitality | 62c | 16,163$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed Vitality | 67c | 15,500$10,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,334.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Liquid | 32c | 13,370$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.67 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Vitality | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.97 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Liquid | 37c | 9,877$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.48 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Liquid | 38c | 8,765$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.3 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Vitality | 66c | 8,300$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.96 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Liquid | 39c | 7,462$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.6 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality | 59c | 7,225$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.7 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Liquid | 37c | 7,138$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.28 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vitality | 62c | 7,047$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.68 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Liquid | 38c | 6,842$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Vitality | 73c | 6,282$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.81 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 60c | 5,647$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.01 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vitality | 63c | 5,000$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Liquid | 36c | 4,532$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.16 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed Liquid | 36c | 4,224$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 62c | 3,913$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.63 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 68c | 3,569$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.02 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vitality | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Liquid | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Liquid | 30c | 3,203$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.81 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed Vitality | 70c | 3,191$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Vitality | 67c | 3,072$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…1b1dbacked Vitality | 62c | 3,000$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality | 66c | 3,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.96 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Vitality | 62c | 2,934$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.18 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Vitality | 65c | 2,780$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.15 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality | 62c | 2,775$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.95 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Vitality | 62c | 2,759$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.76 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Liquid | 38c | 2,492$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Vitality | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Vitality | 61c | 2,127$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Liquid | 37c | 2,122$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.8 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Vitality | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Vitality | 65c | 1,843$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…500dbacked Vitality | 63c | 1,833$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Vitality | 62c | 1,740$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.8 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Vitality | 61c | 1,665$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.47 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Vitality | 63c | 1,600$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Liquid | 27c | 1,519$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.52 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Liquid | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Liquid | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vitality | 62c | 1,484$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid | 37c | 1,484$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.29 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Liquid | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Liquid | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Vitality | 68c | 1,261$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid | 27c | 1,090$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.6 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Vitality | 61c | 1,024$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.64 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Vitality | 62c | 1,023$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.33 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 31c | 1,007$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.39 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Vitality | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Vitality | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Vitality | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Vitality | 67c | 999.98$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Liquid | 25c | 982.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.42 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 40c | 940.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.76 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Vitality | 63c | 901$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.3 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Liquid | 27c | 890.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 67c | 888$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.96 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69c…6797backed Vitality | 69c | 853.33$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Liquid | 34c | 853.24$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.98 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid | 29c | 812.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.86 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Vitality | 63c | 785.93$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.14 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Vitality | 62c | 760$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.2 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Vitality | 62c | 730$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Liquid | 37c | 704.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Liquid | 27c | 690$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Liquid | 38c | 622.66$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.15 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vitality | 58c | 616.65$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Vitality | 63c | 616$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 61c | 608.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.24 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Vitality | 64c | 545.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 65c | 534.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.24 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Liquid | 35c | 514.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…6a24backed Liquid | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Vitality | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Liquid | 29c | 494.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.9 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vitality | 62c | 473.13$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Liquid | 37c | 439.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality | 58c | 431$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked Liquid | 45c | 425.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Vitality | 63c | 419.05$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Liquid | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Liquid | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Liquid | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Liquid | 38c | 390.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Liquid won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)Liquid won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)Liquid won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.