TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over29c16,245$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.45,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under72c8,718$6,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.441,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Under70c4,006$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.843531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed Under73c2,566$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over30c1,924$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.252,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under68c1,783$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.991,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over30c1,693$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…d914backed Over38c1,392$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under71c1,185$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.684841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under70c1,017$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1324746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over31c995.6$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.272,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Over25c879.21$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Under69c831.06$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6338739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over77c797.47$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.624042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c758.84$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.452,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c744.29$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4527753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed Under69c661.39$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.038240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c639.69$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.722,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under69c542.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under74c500.97$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2511849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Under72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under69c436.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9728843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Under69c411.84$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.631030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over38c402.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.512,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over26c387.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under70c345$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over31c297.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8820755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Over29c273.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over30c260.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0415838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under66c254.44$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7937149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0645…a8a7backed Over36c254.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.124632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Under36c227.5$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1772139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under38c223.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.511,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8455941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under71c194.17$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.911155%61 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c191.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.713,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over30c180.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1522838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over33c180.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under70c142.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Under69c142$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.025538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under37c134.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.479241.3%38 W · 54 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under67c130.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over28c130.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.553237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over26c128.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under70c117.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1132458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over32c116.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.723360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under19c104.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.962,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over64c101.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under60c100.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.091,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over58c100.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3136057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over50c94.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.255,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Over31c92.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.576251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Over59c89.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3912348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over32c88.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.212,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x83bc…71d7backed Over34c85.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under37c81.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.611,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under71c78.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…dc39backed Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Under69c77.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Under70c73.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0816754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc889…a87fbacked Under70c71.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.526563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over27c71.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under33c69.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.771951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over32c59.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under52c49.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5722053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd402…848ebacked Over32c44.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Under69c43.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.575440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Over28c41.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e0…960abacked Over31c36.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under68c34.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.038153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under49c34.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3468659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Over31c33.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under71c32.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3944747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9223244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked Over31c31.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010626.4%28 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e95…c068backed Over36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under68c29.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5226650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under69c26.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3315469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Under70c25.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Over78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under71c22.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under68c22.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0925650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under61c18.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1228651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.