Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b65e84951f7736469630ef348676c56cb31e355eeb5621b9b9771d4dca1601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Shifters | 27c | 45,847$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters | 31c | 34,906$10,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,820.75 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 25,227$16,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,079.36 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 22,700$15,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 18,640$12,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.79 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Shifters | 1c | 12,729$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Shifters | 32c | 9,879$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.26 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Shifters | 32c | 9,409$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.8 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Shifters | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shifters | 19c | 8,925$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.68 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 8,222$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.24 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shifters | 32c | 7,994$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.13 | 1,206 | 43.5%525 W · 681 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…0e0abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,929$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Shifters | 16c | 7,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 6,200$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shifters | 31c | 5,818$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.57 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,649$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Shifters | 32c | 5,481$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.89 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,014$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.34 | 242 | 34.7%84 W · 158 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shifters | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Shifters | 18c | 4,521$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Shifters | 29c | 4,447$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.21 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Shifters | 31c | 4,364$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.04 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,290$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.79 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 4,173$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,210$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.02 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters | 29c | 3,190$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.81 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Shifters | 32c | 3,030$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.55 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Shifters | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,901$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.36 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Shifters | 36c | 2,900$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.92 | 349 | 41.8%146 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,687$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Shifters | 39c | 2,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,490$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.61 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shifters | 32c | 2,400$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Shifters | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Shifters | 17c | 2,063$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.37 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Shifters | 25c | 2,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Shifters | 20c | 1,950$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shifters | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Shifters | 33c | 1,571$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Shifters | 33c | 1,534$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.13 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Shifters | 33c | 1,423$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 280 | 35%98 W · 182 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Shifters | 1c | 1,419$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,391$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.58 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed Shifters | 25c | 1,360$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,356$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.15 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Shifters | 32c | 1,333$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.55 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,311$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.02 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Shifters | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Shifters | 10c | 1,239$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shifters | 28c | 1,194$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.09 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 40c | 1,138$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.32 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,108$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,015$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 985.44$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.34 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Shifters | 32c | 928.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 922.42$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.09 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Shifters | 17c | 899.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 881.44$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 348 | 35.3%123 W · 225 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Shifters | 5c | 771.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 734.24$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…5263backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…22abbacked Shifters | 31c | 715$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shifters | 28c | 707.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 700.05$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 693.1$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 676$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 672.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Shifters | 17c | 660.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Shifters | 14c | 658$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6b29backed Shifters | 31c | 649.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 632.26$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Shifters | 33c | 630.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Shifters | 32c | 626$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Shifters | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shifters | 31c | 611.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked Shifters | 33c | 559.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Shifters | 32c | 506.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 115 | 21.7%25 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 505.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 500.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 499.7$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Shifters | 31c | 484$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Shifters | 31c | 483.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Shifters | 15c | 460.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 455.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…e58ebacked Shifters | 22c | 444.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…55babacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.