Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa11fa006547148eee40f664ec19b3ce1d84f76dbda906691072704ce49ecb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $966,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 101,688$58,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,089.8 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shifters | 42c | 70,845$29,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,647.89 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shifters | 42c | 33,327$13,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,962.3 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 24,318$14,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,547.79 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 21,500$13,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.11 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Shifters | 51c | 21,125$10,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,752.25 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 18,518$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.66 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 34c | 13,669$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.05 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,919$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.01 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shifters | 44c | 9,253$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.56 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shifters | 43c | 8,344$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.75 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shifters | 43c | 7,600$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.62 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 43c | 7,245$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.55 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Shifters | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Shifters | 41c | 6,656$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.75 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shifters | 52c | 6,480$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.77 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,128$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.77 | 259 | 49%127 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Shifters | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,949$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.69 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Shifters | 40c | 5,256$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.12 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,233$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.58 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Shifters | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shifters | 42c | 4,980$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.5 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…1d3fbacked Shifters | 7c | 4,615$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +415%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Shifters | 49c | 4,541$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.99 | 451 | 48.1%217 W · 234 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Shifters | 45c | 4,514$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,239$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.37 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,984$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.61 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,822$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.09 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,634$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.85 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,629$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.22 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,444$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.26 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shifters | 59c | 3,415$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Shifters | 58c | 3,100$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Shifters | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,824$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.38 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Shifters | 51c | 2,806$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Shifters | 36c | 2,794$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,768$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.14 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,481$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.4 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 40c | 2,280$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.64 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,266$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.51 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,236$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.97 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Shifters | 36c | 2,223$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.46 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,200$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.99 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shifters | 41c | 2,116$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.8 | 633 | 44.5%282 W · 351 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,109$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.69 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Shifters | 43c | 2,076$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.42 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,024$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.99 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Shifters | 41c | 2,018$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.56 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shifters | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Shifters | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,714$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.7 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,676$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,633$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.49 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,604$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.88 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Shifters | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Shifters | 41c | 1,525$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.78 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shifters | 48c | 1,501$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.57 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,500$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.27 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Shifters | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,494$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.26 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Shifters | 40c | 1,490$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.76 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Shifters | 49c | 1,458$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.03 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shifters | 45c | 1,457$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.2 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,403$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,384$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.63 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,384$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.9 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,383$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.75 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,328$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.08 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Shifters | 48c | 1,322$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.49 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Shifters | 43c | 1,307$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.76 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,295$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Shifters | 38c | 1,293$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Shifters | 16c | 1,293$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.27 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,269$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.47 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 43c | 1,219$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Shifters | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shifters | 47c | 1,175$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.04 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,170$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.18 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.24 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 237 | 49.4%117 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Shifters | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,087$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.95 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,046$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,010$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 155 | 41.3%64 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shifters | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Shifters | 43c | 999.98$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 990.27$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.91 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shifters | 35c | 928.24$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 919.47$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 905.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Shifters | 2c | 899.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.