Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9057a953018d25fcacba2f45eeb52dcd01b43c1c569c0edb043c0864c50b3025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 60,770$37,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,290.2 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Shifters | 0c | 40,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shifters | 41c | 36,300$14,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,776.9 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 33,148$19,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,909.71 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shifters | 44c | 27,890$12,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.73 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 20,000$11,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,519.96 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Shifters | 41c | 18,221$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.58 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Shifters | 41c | 15,300$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.04 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Shifters | 38c | 15,000$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.16 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,800$7,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.28 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shifters | 45c | 11,576$5,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.75 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Shifters | 45c | 11,020$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.62 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,986$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.25 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Shifters | 33c | 10,829$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.73 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 10,000$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.22 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 8,254$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.88 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 8,073$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.7 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shifters | 41c | 7,250$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Shifters | 41c | 6,654$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.29 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Shifters | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters | 5c | 6,284$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Shifters | 38c | 6,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.99 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,788$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.27 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shifters | 46c | 5,059$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.38 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,786$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 4,477$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.35 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,256$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.84 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Shifters | 46c | 4,225$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.68 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 41c | 4,078$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.6 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,887$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,535$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.86 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Shifters | 44c | 3,411$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.5 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Shifters | 44c | 3,374$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.39 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,173$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.45 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Shifters | 48c | 3,127$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Shifters | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,812$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.77 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Shifters | 21c | 2,267$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.52 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Shifters | 32c | 2,206$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,181$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.01 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Shifters | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,132$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.06 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,098$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.32 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Shifters | 30c | 2,027$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.1 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shifters | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shifters | 31c | 2,000$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.69 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,000$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.97 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Shifters | 7c | 1,953$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 293 | 31.4%92 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,891$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.12 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Shifters | 40c | 1,814$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.56 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.78 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,655$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Shifters | 37c | 1,556$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,530$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Shifters | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,477$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.97 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Shifters | 39c | 1,465$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.04 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Shifters | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,409$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.67 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed Shifters | 24c | 1,404$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 149 | 11.4%17 W · 132 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,400$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.36 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,306$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.72 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Shifters | 47c | 1,289$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Shifters | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Shifters | 46c | 1,266$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.38 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Shifters | 40c | 1,262$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,240$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,226$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.17 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,214$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.47 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,200$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Shifters | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,115$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.91 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Shifters | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a30bbacked Shifters | 28c | 1,110$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 156 | 24.4%38 W · 118 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,058$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 38c | 1,042$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shifters | 30c | 1,022$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…e214backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 991.79$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Shifters | 26c | 979.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 970.48$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.59 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 966.35$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Shifters | 47c | 907.35$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Shifters | 39c | 900$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Shifters | 33c | 855$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Shifters | 40c | 852.42$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…c390backed Shifters | 37c | 826.6$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 817.44$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Shifters | 25c | 802.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Shifters | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Shifters | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -17.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.