TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,404,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,281,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,404,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c210,729$28,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,930.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes14c119,013$17,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,091.7956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes14c99,999$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes14c42,031$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,843.6435514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes14c36,047$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,046.5530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes14c33,141$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes14c24,558$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.111567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes13c14,000$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.9712810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes14c13,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8209218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c9,545$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes12c9,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes13c8,300$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes9c7,882$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes14c7,329$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes17c6,021$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Yes14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8406317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes15c5,630$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.653920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes14c5,108$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.121,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes13c5,033$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.9334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes4c4,988$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Yes12c4,338$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c4,267$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33631611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5b…145fbacked Yes14c3,607$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes15c3,258$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes14c3,100$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes14c3,036$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42517733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes9c2,900$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9725418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes14c2,550$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35741429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes14c2,414$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes13c2,350$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes11c2,350$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes15c2,300$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34524526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes14c2,200$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes14c2,069$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.643119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes14c2,057$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes15c2,051$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes11c2,045$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.367622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664d…babdbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes13c1,986$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes14c1,933$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353d…dc92backed Yes15c1,900$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…c5d1backed Yes14c1,865$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.112026.7%32 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0b…3282backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b83…5452backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c3…bf45backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes15c1,703$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Yes3c1,622$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes11c1,571$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c1,561$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes13c1,550$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4915335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c1,539$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes15c1,538$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22826438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Yes15c1,538$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.75832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd885…ebeebacked Yes16c1,526$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c1,522$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes13c1,507$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19116727.5%46 W · 121 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes14c1,430$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.25315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008220.7%17 W · 65 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes14c1,381$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes14c1,368$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5247321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes14c1,357$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.953023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9071…4dc0backed Yes14c1,300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182205%1 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Yes16c1,289$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0d…3dfabacked Yes15c1,287$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.41825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…bf6bbacked Yes14c1,257$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766443.8%28 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes14c1,243$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes11c1,239$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08c…b6b7backed Yes17c1,174$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003821.1%8 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Yes14c1,164$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.