Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd543360e4a80d17ff4ea4b8d571f9f223ae13f68c1c4d7b8c7fb440db09a5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 91,965$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 3c | 8,223$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 3c | 7,931$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 3c | 4,444$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 2c | 4,148$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 3c | 3,688$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 3c | 3,485$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 3c | 3,291$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,214$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,184$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,991$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 2,778$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…8e2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,948$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,904$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 3c | 1,852$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…655dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,733$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 2c | 1,685$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Yes | 3c | 1,626$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…8b78backed Yes | 3c | 1,440$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 3c | 1,393$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 2c | 1,313$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,301$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…de2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,193$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…2430backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…52c7backed Yes | 3c | 985.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…03d6backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…8969backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 892.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…220fbacked Yes | 3c | 892.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 2c | 881.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 881.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…5654backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…7d7abacked Yes | 2c | 705$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 13%14 W · 94 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…91c2backed Yes | 2c | 636.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e947backed Yes | 2c | 634.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 2c | 562$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 2c | 538.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 529.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Yes | 3c | 524.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…ae16backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 493.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…5839backed Yes | 3c | 444.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67d…8180backed Yes | 3c | 405.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…0ad7backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…9261backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…9534backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…8970backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 23.1%50 W · 166 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…28dfbacked Yes | 3c | 346.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.