Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5430f67aa84e55e05e5c31bd8bb487152ac4a9d29efb7efc711aa4f42a1c8490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 4c | 167,176$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.77 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 99,555$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 14,672$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 2c | 5,819$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 4c | 2,410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…0396backed Yes | 4c | 2,359$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,353$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 4c | 2,276$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 2c | 2,082$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,569$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,563$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 1,533$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 1,504$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,428$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…eec2backed Yes | 2c | 1,399$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,329$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,292$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…6511backed Yes | 5c | 1,029$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 2c | 1,008$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…ec31backed Yes | 2c | 948.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Yes | 7c | 944.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 882.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…7ee7backed Yes | 3c | 830$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 4c | 807.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 777$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd999…dbc6backed Yes | 3c | 776.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 8c | 750.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Yes | 5c | 744$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 4c | 595.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…5839backed Yes | 2c | 571.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…ce05backed Yes | 2c | 500.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…193abacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 4c | 490.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…0ecfbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…24a6backed Yes | 5c | 425.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 4c | 349.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…02cebacked Yes | 6c | 342.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…14e2backed Yes | 4c | 315.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 4c | 302.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…70d8backed Yes | 4c | 251.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 5c | 246.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 6c | 174.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.