Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8f9c8e0fa7fa9102edfc7a076c262163d5ee8c1d979342221d96293a98c78f

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $508,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $476,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,808 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	102,693$2,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350.75	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes	2c	26,216$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.53	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes	2c	19,379$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.22	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes	2c	14,000$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes	2c	12,142$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	235	13.2%31 W · 204 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes	2c	10,697$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	74	5.4%4 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes	3c	7,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes	2c	6,775$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	77	3.9%3 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	2c	6,536$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.86	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	2c	6,017$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.34	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes	3c	5,640$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes	2c	5,385$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes	2c	4,755$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.49	82	22%18 W · 64 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes	2c	4,402$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.61	539	20.6%111 W · 428 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes	0c	4,123$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes	2c	4,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes	3c	3,892$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c9…67c6backed Yes	3c	3,703$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes	3c	3,649$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	8cpaid	+172.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	2c	3,630$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes	2c	3,481$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.36	287	16.4%47 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7520…9206backed Yes	3c	3,475$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	2c	2,711$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	0c	2,628$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes	2c	2,519$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.94	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	2c	2,400$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes	2c	2,292$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8513…789ebacked Yes	2c	2,239$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes	2c	2,207$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	11.1%15 W · 120 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes	2c	2,083$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	17.3%14 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3225…3a5abacked Yes	2c	2,083$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Yes	2c	1,792$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Yes	2c	1,696$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	2c	1,639$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes	2c	1,636$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c99…cb64backed Yes	2c	1,375$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes	2c	1,304$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	16.1%14 W · 73 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes	2c	1,278$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	21.9%30 W · 107 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes	2c	1,228$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3848…9db2backed Yes	2c	1,227$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	33.3%33 W · 66 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d1…48b0backed Yes	1c	1,203$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ee…69e6backed Yes	2c	1,167$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	2c	1,099$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	1,087$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	2c	1,047$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Yes	2c	950$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa7…8969backed Yes	2c	909.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes	2c	887.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	18.9%28 W · 120 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes	2c	869.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	311	19.3%60 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…79cfbacked Yes	2c	839.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	6.8%9 W · 123 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6335…565cbacked Yes	2c	833.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-86.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes	2c	801.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	89	6.7%6 W · 83 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127b…afa7backed Yes	2c	801.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeec…99c8backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	19%22 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0607…d56fbacked Yes	3c	787.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	25%37 W · 111 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf55b…e3dfbacked Yes	2c	652.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Yes	2c	643.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	2c	625$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	2c	596.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes	2c	584.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	208	14.4%30 W · 178 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	2c	545.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a2…bbdbbacked Yes	2c	528.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes	2c	501.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…6359backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	114	11.4%13 W · 101 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a9…e3dfbacked Yes	2c	476.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ce…7796backed Yes	2c	417.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1356…d4f3backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb671…6840backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ab99backed Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad10…f69fbacked Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Yes won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?No won
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event