TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ee…69e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$542.67
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.68
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.17
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$15.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$20.7
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$15.43
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$93.8
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.06
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$167.11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.68
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.76
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$5.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.18
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$8.41
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$6.15
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$15.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$17.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.