Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae4d617f32e895ce1139f77b7cb2e95f57c0cceb0c9a7f4ed83401ad84be7d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 43c | 5,448$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.58 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 5,059$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.3 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 3,218$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.25 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 1,963$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.4 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 46c | 1,947$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 892.7$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 47c | 829.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 53c | 714.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.7 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 647.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 455.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 34c | 447.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 439.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 31c | 417.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 397.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 45c | 350.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 25c | 289.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 255.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 250.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 205$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 25c | 201.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 197.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…9874backed Yes | 45c | 172.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 156.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 142.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 68c | 128.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 23c | 125.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 44c | 118.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 45c | 108.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 43c | 94.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…69e6backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 38c | 85.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 77.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 74.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 64c | 69.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 64.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 40c | 49.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 24c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 69c | 47.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 42c | 47.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 44c | 44.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 53c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…712cbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 56c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 53c | 23.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 59c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 60c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 72c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.