Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b34309de3d530fe892e5dabd09134f8b32cb2b324b58009343d11e52dffba23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 3,323$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,812$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 934.01$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 71c | 420.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 319.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 319.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 76c | 192.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 17c | 147.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 141.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 16c | 141.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 9c | 140.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 138.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 136$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 128.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 107.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 107.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 28c | 107.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 84.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 82.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 79.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes | 30c | 72.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 54c | 30.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.