La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcafce7dfa1941ed6a1e94b565c37b246a82bed459c879941db7e9110a90973f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 3,688$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.03 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 61c | 2,948$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 37c | 2,900$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 2,700$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 39c | 2,195$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,878$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,346$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 935.2$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.37 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 59c | 755.97$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 576.92$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 45c | 566.88$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 38c | 563.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 44c | 497.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 43c | 470.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 56c | 415.39$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 58c | 348.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 299.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 289.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 262.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 258.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Yes | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 63c | 220.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 39c | 198$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 192.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 58c | 192$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 185.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 47c | 181.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 64c | 156.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 55c | 144.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 53c | 143.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 118.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 108.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 47c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 22c | 82.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 69c | 72.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 69c | 72.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Yes | 42c | 58.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 65c | 55.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…69e6backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked No | 59c | 54.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 73c | 48.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 54c | 48.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 54c | 48.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 48c | 44.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked No | 52c | 42.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…f9b8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 41c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…56ecbacked Yes | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed No | 60c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 58c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 68c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 71c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.