Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17788a052650766822c6ad3f6c949ee4547f0d6d4f0ec4e7af56358b00424a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 2,925$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.17 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,436$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.47 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,413$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.28 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,199$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.73 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 962.43$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.36 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 22c | 646.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 22c | 601.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.49 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 23c | 579.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 46c | 547.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 463.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 430.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.56 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 398.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 378.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 44c | 372.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.33 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 370.53$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.89 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 348.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 58c | 334$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 54c | 300.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 62c | 226.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 69c | 222.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 45c | 221.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Yes | 67c | 205.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 52c | 199.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 167.62$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 30c | 165.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 50c | 164$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 152.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 62c | 150.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed No | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…b95fbacked Yes | 67c | 148.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 36c | 137.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 127.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 44c | 125.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 62c | 116.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 35c | 106.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 65c | 104.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 66c | 91.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Yes | 24c | 85.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 42c | 70.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 49c | 69.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 71c | 69.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 65.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…c6abbacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 58.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 65c | 56.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 34c | 55.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 45c | 52.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 30c | 50.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 35c | 49.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 32c | 49.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 39c | 36.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 59c | 36.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…69e6backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 34c | 30.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 67c | 29.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 64c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 26.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 53c | 25.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…2f0cbacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…bdf9backed Yes | 48c | 20.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.