Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c04e9429d16db7c8908b7fea7fb801458a1f3f5777d018898f84ff82388c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 9,534$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.66 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 19c | 8,974$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.84 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 3,117$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 79c | 3,085$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 2,142$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.12 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 1,586$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.07 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 18c | 1,373$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 20c | 1,284$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 749.08$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 15c | 504.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 44c | 465.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 402.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 372.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 18c | 364.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 16c | 299.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…1f51backed Yes | 53c | 201.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 184.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 18c | 172.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 162.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 162.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 16c | 157.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 155.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Yes | 20c | 135.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 125.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 18c | 106.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 19c | 99.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 80c | 98.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 22c | 95.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 42c | 92.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 28c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 17c | 75.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…61e2backed Yes | 21c | 70.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 75c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.