TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,037,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,017,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c245,581$21,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,105.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes10c78,000$7,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,76056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes9c40,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes9c40,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007229.2%21 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes10c22,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes9c18,820$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.8411218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes7c15,746$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.281219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes10c7,800$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7809218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes10c6,090$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.1953920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes10c6,000$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes5c6,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes10c5,979$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb796…f221backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes10c4,899$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes10c4,500$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes12c4,260$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe588…c5d1backed Yes10c4,228$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7312026.7%32 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5b…145fbacked Yes10c3,600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes4c3,457$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes9c3,314$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.247321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c3,301$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.954,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8842…1fbdbacked Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006317.5%11 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes10c2,900$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29034231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes9c2,323$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes9c2,267$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes10c2,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes9c2,220$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes2c2,007$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8629017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes11c1,900$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes8c1,899$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14735612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes8c1,808$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.61417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…bf6bbacked Yes10c1,760$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766443.8%28 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes10c1,740$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes9c1,706$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.933915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes6c1,691$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.547816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4962…f509backed Yes6c1,654$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes10c1,392$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.27919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c1,195$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.56729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes5c1,187$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007613.2%10 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010422.1%23 W · 81 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.998639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1e…d4dbbacked Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes9c1,056$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954112.2%5 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes10c1,040$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes6c1,004$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.947613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd689…6ec7backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804742.6%20 W · 27 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+65.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf6…7690backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e26…4eedbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9869…f6e9backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes9c916.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.58711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes10c904$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.41567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…28dfbacked Yes9c888.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802520%5 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes9c883.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5142332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes10c863.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3356022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Yes7c854.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5913520%27 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005e…67ffbacked Yes10c850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.