TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,573 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c57,987$880 inLost-$879.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes1c9,213$106 inLost-$106.1272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes2c8,285$150 inLost-$15017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…b6a5backed Yes1c4,516$63 inLost-$63.41315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes1c3,349$50 inLost-$5010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes2c3,333$50 inLost-$507234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes1c3,250$39 inLost-$3921029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes1c2,810$34 inLost-$33.7270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes1c2,308$30 inLost-$3050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes1c2,273$25 inLost-$257613.2%10 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes1c2,143$30 inLost-$301035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes1c2,143$30 inLost-$3018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes1c2,143$30 inLost-$304112.2%5 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes2c2,000$30 inLost-$3024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…db67backed Yes1c1,967$29 inLost-$28.845317%9 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes1c1,945$27 inLost-$27.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes1c1,538$20 inLost-$2011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes1c1,492$14 inLost-$14.1336423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes1c1,429$20 inLost-$2017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes1c1,364$15 inLost-$15296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…9a22backed Yes1c1,308$17 inLost-$171816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes1c1,182$13 inLost-$134814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Yes2c954$15 inLost-$15385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf900…f00cbacked Yes2c800$13 inLost-$12.87334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92d…5839backed Yes2c625$10 inLost-$102213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.