TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,481,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,372,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c273,319$23,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,023.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c134,815$10,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,882.656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes8c58,391$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,671.2730214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes4c41,250$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c33,028$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes8c30,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Yes8c28,029$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.36317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes9c26,750$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.55717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes8c26,473$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.8778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes4c25,666$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.391219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5b…145fbacked Yes9c20,659$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes8c20,006$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.6538817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes2c20,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes8c15,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes7c14,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.9812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes9c12,222$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes9c11,952$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.681567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes9c10,556$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes8c8,057$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.5935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3363…cedebacked Yes4c8,040$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes9c7,987$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6453920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes8c6,666$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.28807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes8c6,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes4c5,890$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21531611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ed…ed4dbacked Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500506%3 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-64.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes8c5,500$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes8c5,013$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41820816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes8c4,375$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507613.2%10 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8842…1fbdbacked Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006317.5%11 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes9c3,700$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes8c3,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes9c3,472$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c3,248$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes9c3,058$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1825124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes9c3,046$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b83…5452backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes8c2,680$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.441429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes8c2,510$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.85315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes8c2,409$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.753119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes9c2,142$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.829017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes9c2,100$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c2,024$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes8c1,998$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e26…4eedbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8783…4eb2backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507529.3%22 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c1,800$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12627811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes8c1,583$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes6c1,583$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes8c1,550$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.471939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes9c1,515$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.951,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes9c1,444$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes8c1,420$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.68419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ab…6473backed Yes7c1,400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0b…d25bbacked Yes9c1,250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.55832.8%19 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701b…f052backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Yes9c1,250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.515424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9d…6fa6backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7588…df60backed Yes8c1,248$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8310711.2%12 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…bf6bbacked Yes9c1,244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126443.8%28 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…7df5backed Yes9c1,236$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109834.7%34 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes9c1,219$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.542619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcb…c5afbacked Yes9c1,189$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1078541.2%35 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes8c1,181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Yes9c1,167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3be…f6eabacked Yes9c1,167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.