Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a52e149c268eebe74b0a7aae8d7b2aee6d1ca46ad79366661512f21605dc77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 177,712$12,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,984.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 7c | 162,373$12,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,065.76 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes | 7c | 14,057$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.94 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 7c | 10,906$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.99 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 7,598$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.17 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 7c | 5,411$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 4,330$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Yes | 7c | 3,789$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 7c | 3,496$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,464$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,009$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 8c | 2,999$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 2,377$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 2,307$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,238$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,237$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 7c | 2,157$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 7c | 1,765$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 1,709$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,618$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 7c | 1,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 7c | 1,372$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 7c | 1,323$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 1,295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,292$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 1,240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…4c75backed Yes | 7c | 1,232$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,222$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,212$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…413bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Yes | 8c | 1,103$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 7c | 970.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…67ffbacked Yes | 7c | 942.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 9c | 936.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…44c4backed Yes | 7c | 923.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 7c | 888.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…8b78backed Yes | 7c | 869.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 8c | 830.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…da74backed Yes | 7c | 820.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 7c | 781.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd376…7274backed Yes | 7c | 757.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 7c | 749.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…220fbacked Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 7c | 744.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4857backed Yes | 7c | 741.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d2…da81backed Yes | 7c | 694.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…06e6backed Yes | 7c | 693.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…e533backed Yes | 7c | 688.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…6511backed Yes | 7c | 663.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 7c | 663.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 7c | 661.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 8c | 633.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Yes | 8c | 632.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 20%27 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 7c | 626.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes | 8c | 617.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 6c | 615.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 8c | 613.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…6938backed Yes | 7c | 597.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 6c | 593.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 5c | 591.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 7c | 579.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 530.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…6ab4backed Yes | 7c | 514.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 503.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Yes | 6c | 468.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 6c | 460$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 7c | 454.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…4ef8backed Yes | 7c | 447.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 7c | 447.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 7c | 445.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 6c | 440$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 7c | 435.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 7c | 434.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 7c | 403.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 394.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes | 7c | 378.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…0d74backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 6c | 369.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 7c | 367.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 367.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 7c | 366.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 2 France?No won
- Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.