Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,498,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,340,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,498,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 3c | 256,085$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 11c | 126,605$14,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,173.59 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 6c | 69,604$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.55 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 32c | 55,865$18,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,132.07 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes | 10c | 33,829$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 64c | 31,952$20,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,509.53 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 70c | 24,751$17,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.26 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 70c | 19,663$13,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.98 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 21c | 16,715$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…3edcbacked Yes | 18c | 16,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 15,243$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 12c | 14,116$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.79 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 15c | 13,222$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.86 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,770$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 4c | 11,750$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.52 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked Yes | 2c | 10,935$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 10c | 9,789$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.14 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…ddfcbacked Yes | 19c | 9,517$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 2c | 9,264$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 9,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 9,031$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.11 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 75c | 8,877$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.99 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 11c | 8,373$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.1 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 14c | 7,720$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.46 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 2c | 7,635$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 15c | 7,559$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 74c | 7,499$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 6,651$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ab…fe70backed Yes | 2c | 6,458$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 69c | 6,435$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 3c | 6,063$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,008$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 3c | 5,671$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…27d2backed Yes | 3c | 5,600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 67c | 5,413$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.69 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…9281backed No | 77c | 5,236$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,121$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…afa7backed Yes | 2c | 5,107$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 2c | 5,067$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 4,447$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Yes | 30c | 4,444$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes | 13c | 4,290$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 26c | 4,225$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 33c | 4,032$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…b397backed Yes | 1c | 3,935$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 30c | 3,786$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed Yes | 1c | 3,667$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 19c | 3,609$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.02 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,593$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,578$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…f828backed Yes | 3c | 3,569$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…e058backed No | 67c | 3,509$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 21c | 3,478$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 71c | 3,454$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.01 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 35c | 3,429$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 2c | 3,410$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,372$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 3,340$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 3,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,302$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,261$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…907dbacked No | 77c | 3,228$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -8.4wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 12c | 3,217$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 2c | 3,185$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d312backed Yes | 26c | 3,101$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked No | 68c | 3,100$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…8bd9backed No | 79c | 3,064$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…a718backed Yes | 30c | 3,055$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…5cafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…5b92backed Yes | 2c | 2,974$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035d…5a61backed Yes | 34c | 2,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 8c | 2,961$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 71c | 2,683$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.57 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed No | 69c | 2,600$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 2c | 2,585$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 2,567$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,565$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.82 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…cc56backed No | 72c | 2,535$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.71 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…386ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,525$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…eb00backed Yes | 3c | 2,410$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…20d1backed Yes | 4c | 2,410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 31c | 2,269$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.29 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,205$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.1 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 3c | 2,163$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed Yes | 3c | 2,150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 79c | 2,150$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.1 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb0…c303backed Yes | 6c | 2,105$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…e6eebacked Yes | 3c | 2,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 21cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…3737backed Yes | 2c | 2,098$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5529backed Yes | 3c | 2,094$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…1e7cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,035$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,021$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 75c | 2,008$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.77 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…5090backed Yes | 2c | 2,005$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.