Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1625b25f04ef217289096916b91e484a6d1ab16443dfcf85d384a65a10cd6a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 50c | 12,696$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.28 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 52c | 6,645$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 71c | 5,334$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 47c | 4,350$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.57 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 57c | 2,343$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.61 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 2,131$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 52c | 2,080$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 1,875$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 47c | 1,802$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.94 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 47c | 1,584$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.21 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 1,530$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.97 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 25c | 1,308$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 44c | 1,211$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 53c | 1,195$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 1,071$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.61 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 1,007$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…73a7backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 55c | 910.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 49c | 850$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 47c | 799.92$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 53c | 720$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 49c | 696.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 48c | 687.19$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 46c | 661.52$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 48c | 588.57$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 54c | 581.25$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.48 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 54c | 572.05$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 492.73$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.15 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 483$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…f9c2backed No | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 26c | 396$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 53c | 374.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 63c | 363$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 51c | 359.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 41c | 339.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 48c | 329.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 48c | 327$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 302.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 63c | 296.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 286$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 47c | 270.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 53c | 261.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 63c | 250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 53c | 230.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 50c | 203.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 190.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 36c | 185$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 32c | 179.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 165.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 61c | 155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 48c | 151.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 47c | 141.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 134.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b7a7backed No | 50c | 108.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 47c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 53c | 103.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…923cbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…504bbacked No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 54c | 97.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 46c | 96.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 92.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 48c | 92.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?this page
- Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.