Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1787fa07d9b6c5f5bccaf22fca4a2af729c72a30a6566cce895f78eedd60e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 74c | 5,800$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 3,374$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.4 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,465$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.78 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,969$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.83 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 474$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 430.57$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 392$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 309.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 299.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 255.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 19c | 248.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 202.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 26c | 195$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 73c | 166.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 153.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 139.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 74c | 135.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 127$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 20c | 122.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 25c | 119.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 91.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed No | 80c | 81.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…74aebacked Yes | 28c | 73.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…69e6backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…cc4bbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 49.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 45.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 40.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 72c | 38.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 38.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 77c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.