Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98be79b016f169f922b8f5772297284a45f89b5995e97bf9b6e613308f83970e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,877$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.17 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 25c | 590.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 493.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 461.77$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 11c | 447.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 439.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 399$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 330.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 306.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 276.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 229$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 222.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 25c | 202.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 80c | 177.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 76c | 176.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 151.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 136.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Yes | 40c | 95.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 86.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 80.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes | 39c | 77.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 67.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…cc4bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 52.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 49.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 49.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 73c | 43.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 66c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 44c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 49c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 72c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.