MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396b299b312aef02552b45b71690e122568b5c88bac7a756aac7e14ff35b3e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Seattle Mariners, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 54,698$25,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,324.98 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 50,955$26,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,496.43 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 43,167$20,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,994.45 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 40,492$18,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,788.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 32,291$17,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,102.33 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 29,630$17,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,777.78 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 16,272$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,754.62 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 15,396$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 11,485$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.7 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 11,144$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.12 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 10,911$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 7,100$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,968$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.66 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,742$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.29 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 5,611$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 4,938$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.96 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,850$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,725$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.41 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,447$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.14 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 4,115$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.03 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,965$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.09 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 3,881$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.07 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,880$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.43 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 3,714$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 3,693$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.5 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,651$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.81 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,505$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,277$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.69 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,978$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,423$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.67 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,110$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.04 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,107$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,064$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.64 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,032$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,927$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,899$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.41 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,715$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,692$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,613$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.99 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,480$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.13 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,169$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.05 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,073$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.55 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,072$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.04 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,014$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 879.87$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.53 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 822$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…4129backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 788.59$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.44 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 743.22$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 737.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 643.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 641.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.61 | 269 | 62.1%167 W · 102 L | +44.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 632.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 472$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 405.13$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 400.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 392.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 385.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 380.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 360$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 354.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 353.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 323.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 308.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 301.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 269.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 258.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 229.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 226.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 219.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 218.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 214$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 210.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 209.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.