TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$574,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons66c80,000$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,499.9317452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed OG34c44,024$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…b1d5backed Team Falcons71c27,633$19,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Team Falcons62c20,135$12,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,651.46139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed OG34c18,390$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,185.5136248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed OG38c16,000$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,009.9827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed OG40c15,542$6,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,184.4433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed OG35c14,355$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.2556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons78c10,347$8,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked OG38c8,513$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2351,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed OG23c7,728$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.7214825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons75c7,572$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.7843344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons68c6,970$4,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.4218351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed OG34c6,963$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.4431248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed OG5c6,441$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.711216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG21c6,395$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.112,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed OG38c6,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG29c5,404$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.582,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed OG34c5,039$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.1496557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed OG29c5,032$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45212557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons62c4,927$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.2310743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG24c4,907$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.791,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons72c4,391$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.871,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed OG33c4,220$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.4516147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons73c3,753$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.591,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OG29c3,662$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.851,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons73c3,608$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.661,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked OG29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons73c3,341$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.6877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked OG36c3,139$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.5835951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed OG24c3,041$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.5177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed OG27c3,038$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.1515144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked OG33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked OG28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9910646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons80c2,800$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56153764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons73c2,779$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.0243049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…fa22backed OG1c2,700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed OG35c2,555$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.1935151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.9535062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG25c2,375$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.81,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2469…4812backed OG23c2,203$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed OG29c2,146$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2527737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed OG29c2,125$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8210051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked OG39c2,093$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed OG36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG22c1,969$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.612,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG21c1,944$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons75c1,825$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.953560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG29c1,800$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed OG23c1,776$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed OG34c1,696$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.361546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons64c1,544$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.6650769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons68c1,500$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4765853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed OG38c1,392$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9625248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Team Falcons73c1,348$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.894753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons75c1,344$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2958746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed OG23c1,330$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Team Falcons71c1,300$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed OG26c1,291$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.57736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Team Falcons78c1,289$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.636159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed OG27c1,280$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed OG34c1,250$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017449.4%86 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked OG8c1,231$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked OG25c1,227$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.965547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked Team Falcons77c1,217$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.832560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons74c1,166$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7865863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed OG36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed OG29c1,088$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.225740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed OG33c1,088$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86ed…c1e5backed Team Falcons66c1,077$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.151225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons63c1,052$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6760349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons68c1,009$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8421146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG32c1,003$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed OG32c1,002$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a01…7650backed OG1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked OG24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed OG15c988.07$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3919242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons71c925.69$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4550850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Falcons72c920.14$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons66c900.5$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked OG16c875.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4810551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbe…8853backed OG11c875$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked OG9c873.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.34723.4%11 W · 36 L-8.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG28c862.25$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.441,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed OG11c860$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Team Falcons63c850$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.53161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed OG22c849.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ef9…34c3backed Team Falcons78c846.02$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.422263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked OG35c818.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons72c788.76$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons70c778.82$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1950749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked OG28c777$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.455238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Team Falcons75c750$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1909565.3%62 W · 33 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Falcons77c724.23$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2314157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked OG25c714$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2819737.1%73 W · 124 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons80c711.48$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6354246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed OG24c706.79$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.465647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked OG38c705.26$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26855251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.