MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5490dfafcaa7f95d0e01a7e5b3d1a616215424183927dde42265520df5483446

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Miami Marlinsof New York Mets, Miami Marlins
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $360,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $424,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,138 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Mets	48c	56,037$26,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,897.66	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins	52c	55,555$28,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,666.4	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins	52c	30,461$15,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,532.54	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins	51c	26,174$13,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,825.35	505	53.5%270 W · 235 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Miami Marlins	50c	19,000$9,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,530	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets	49c	18,463$9,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,046.78	177	53.1%94 W · 83 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins	48c	14,513$6,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,546.66	552	53.1%293 W · 259 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked New York Mets	22c	14,491$3,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,140.65	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	53c	13,803$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,315.57	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	50c	13,221$6,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,556.98	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	48c	12,727$6,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,163.77	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	52c	9,000$4,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,634.99	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	36c	8,566$3,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,079.41	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Miami Marlins	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins	52c	7,359$3,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,532.32	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,382.98	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets	51c	6,143$3,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,112.18	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets	49c	5,555$2,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,706.96	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Mets	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets	48c	4,806$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,324.88	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	41c	3,827$1,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.57	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins	51c	3,504$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,703.92	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins	75c	3,173$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.38	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked New York Mets	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.99	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked New York Mets	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.99	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.97	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed New York Mets	51c	2,773$1,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.88	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins	52c	2,504$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.92	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	50c	2,337$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.55	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins	52c	2,250$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.13	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets	54c	2,111$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.05	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed New York Mets	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets	53c	1,964$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.05	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Miami Marlins	49c	1,781$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.03	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins	53c	1,763$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.25	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets	48c	1,590$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.2	712	53.4%380 W · 332 L	+12.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,522$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.44	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	46c	1,504$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.84	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets	49c	1,500$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.99	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed New York Mets	50c	1,377$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.59	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d0…6219backed Miami Marlins	49c	1,300$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,216$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.62	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,181$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.03	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins	64c	1,119$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.97	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets	48c	1,083$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.35	1,939	41.2%799 W · 1,140 L	-30.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets	53c	1,050$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.5	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets	50c	1,007$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.97	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Mets	15c	1,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.33	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Mets	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed New York Mets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked New York Mets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked New York Mets	48c	999.97$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.99	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets	51c	979.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.79	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked New York Mets	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a2…d3fcbacked New York Mets	27c	896.78$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.13	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed New York Mets	52c	835.98$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.15	452	53.8%243 W · 209 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed New York Mets	14c	797.07$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.59	364	40.1%146 W · 218 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins	48c	745$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.21	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins	48c	737.07$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.05	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Mets	55c	725.09$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.85	323	51.7%167 W · 156 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets	45c	716.87$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.8	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins	65c	701.99$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.99	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Miami Marlins	49c	682.39$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.02	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins	49c	660.32$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.14	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins	49c	652.6$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.51	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed New York Mets	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	616	52.8%325 W · 291 L	+31.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed New York Mets	52c	584$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.51	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins	52c	580$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.4	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Miami Marlins	52c	540$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.2	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed New York Mets	51c	524.71$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.6	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins	56c	521.54$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.81	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Miami Marlins	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed New York Mets	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked New York Mets	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+9.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed New York Mets	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked New York Mets	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked New York Mets	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	252	49.2%124 W · 128 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets	51c	499.99$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Miami Marlins	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	180	67.8%122 W · 58 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked New York Mets	16c	499.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.95	335	15.5%52 W · 283 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Miami Marlins	52c	482$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.57	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins	52c	475.95$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.46	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets	49c	446.94$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	467	49.5%231 W · 236 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets	53c	435$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.55	354	49.2%174 W · 180 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets	51c	431.67$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.75	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	44c	410.97$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.94	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Mets	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	481	45.3%218 W · 263 L	-15.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets	25c	407.28$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.26	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	3,303	46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L	+22.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked New York Mets	50c	385.68$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.84	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7928…f432backed New York Mets	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	39c	382.61$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.44	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets	49c	366.6$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.63	507	51.7%262 W · 245 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event