TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof M80, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$861,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$906,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $861,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy77c244,684$189,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,26014050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy76c73,274$55,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,585.7442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed M8023c43,500$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00510142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed M8023c41,184$9,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,472.2710850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Legacy77c40,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed M8026c39,520$10,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,375.7223839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy76c33,025$24,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,028.475,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Legacy77c33,000$25,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,59021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed M8023c31,936$7,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.1713244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8023c26,134$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.2764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed M8024c20,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed M8028c17,144$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77520448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Legacy72c16,010$11,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.6823145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed M8024c15,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed Legacy74c13,264$9,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.5514949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Legacy77c12,987$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.0119055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed M8023c11,600$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.973447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8015c10,975$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.311,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy75c10,561$7,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.3125355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Legacy79c10,483$8,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.321330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed M801c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed M8021c10,000$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.8930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed M8025c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked M8011c9,000$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.95742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7625…78dbbacked M8024c8,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked M8013c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed M8023c7,457$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.115347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed M8024c7,200$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.4811633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed M8023c7,166$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.0711638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed M8023c7,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy76c6,592$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.4733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed M8023c6,520$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Legacy77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.5119660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked M8023c6,283$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.4929127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8024c6,140$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked M8025c6,035$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.724353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed M8011c6,015$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.718624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8027c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9317540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed M8020c5,845$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.8910946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed M8023c5,719$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.2711439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Legacy73c5,286$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.58256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Legacy80c5,272$4,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked M8017c5,255$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.2212143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8019c5,180$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9661,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Legacy75c5,061$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.572,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed M8024c5,027$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed M8023c4,852$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11617948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked M8024c4,749$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.7613760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed M8024c4,699$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.7617643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy74c4,582$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.322,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed M8023c4,543$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.976245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5202…b1f0backed M8023c4,256$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked M8024c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed M8023c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92021945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed M8023c3,914$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.2432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked M8023c3,739$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9435242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked M8026c3,537$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed M8023c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80511434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked M8013c3,000$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Legacy78c2,925$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.1617162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed M8024c2,917$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed M8024c2,836$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.646251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked M8025c2,569$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5514044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed M8023c2,530$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8112252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8024c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed M8013c2,378$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed M8020c2,246$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1611151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked M8019c2,099$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed M804c2,078$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed M8026c2,042$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed M8012c2,024$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Legacy74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed M8016c2,000$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed M8027c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed M8024c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed M8023c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9914950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed M8024c1,910$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.337045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked M8016c1,902$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Legacy77c1,900$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43726054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…71d6backed M8020c1,886$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3789048.9%44 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked M8014c1,880$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8536440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked M8021c1,876$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3948353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed M8026c1,804$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9725440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433b…f372backed M8012c1,794$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.98137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed M8018c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Legacy76c1,667$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy71c1,581$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.781,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed M8022c1,525$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2225145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked M8015c1,501$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.988038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Legacy74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed M8023c1,500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9849935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed M8023c1,499$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.789551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked M8024c1,458$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9913234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8022c1,453$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.415,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed M8017c1,441$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked M8026c1,392$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36225344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed M8023c1,380$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.434848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed M8013c1,377$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17941938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed M8023c1,371$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3414051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed M8023c1,370$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.157641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.