TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$478,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy49c200,009$97,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,044.7514050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked M8051c145,602$74,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,256.7742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Legacy49c68,879$33,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,128.067363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8053c35,000$18,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,55075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Legacy47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,90017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8c…e77dbacked M801c25,865$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.653876.3%29 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+154.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed M8051c22,473$11,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,461.0825355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed M8053c21,300$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,28910850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed M8051c18,888$9,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,632.8781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy47c11,035$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,847.892,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy48c10,413$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,417.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed M8052c9,620$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.3319455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f8…4de0backed M8053c9,199$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.471650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed M8051c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed M8053c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8053c6,086$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.4778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a1…ab38backed M8053c5,832$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked M8046c4,000$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.378038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed M8053c3,773$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Legacy49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed M8053c2,260$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8053c2,250$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.51,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed M8051c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1225152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked M8053c2,102$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.965543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Legacy49c2,048$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.126256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked M8052c1,857$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Legacy49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91826155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed M8052c1,264$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.482642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed M8052c1,225$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63757641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed M8042c1,209$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.622,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy58c1,195$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2939157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked M8053c1,098$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58225344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked M8041c1,095$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.8498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Legacy47c1,065$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.8811551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Legacy48c1,047$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5723653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Legacy48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.675135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked M8051c1,030$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.31,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Legacy49c1,022$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.225345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Legacy49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Legacy49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51014650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed M8050c919.27$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2914749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed M8052c903.27$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.717946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8051c887.96$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.861,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked M8036c745.51$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.171,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed M8053c725.04$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.9213253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed M8033c707.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked M8053c702.18$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.166040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed M8053c700$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed M8052c694.08$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9218261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Legacy47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.316749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Legacy47c631.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.662,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed M8052c507.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.816544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Legacy47c501$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Legacy48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Legacy47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9938650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Legacy48c482.49$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Legacy66c479.19$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.811,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked M8053c470$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.120643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x732c…08dbbacked Legacy61c459.46$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.469147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked M8056c412$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.167742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Legacy48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20819238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked M8052c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.814351.7%74 W · 69 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy44c388$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed M8053c384.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Legacy54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.68450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Legacy58c378.26$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy46c361.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed Legacy51c353.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.385253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Legacy49c353.1$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0810148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Legacy56c349.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0113435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Legacy58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8312043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Legacy59c335$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.319047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Legacy62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5822243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Legacy47c319$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0745639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed M8052c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed M8053c305.13$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.725944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Legacy55c293.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8430155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy53c283.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1750050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27eb…0232backed M8035c269.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.391145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed M8045c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Legacy48c259.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7332346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed M8052c246$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a6…602fbacked Legacy54c245.15$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Legacy52c241.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2149941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked M8052c217.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.261346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked M8039c214.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6626653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked M8049c213.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.847255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Legacy49c204.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4518748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed M8052c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048953.9%48 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed M8052c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Legacy55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed M8051c186.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1124935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Legacy54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1953850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed M8032c184.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5310452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed M8053c182.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed M8052c182.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd939…9045backed M8052c180.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.823141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked M8052c177.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2613543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Legacy59c168.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4396545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.