TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Over43c35,876$15,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,417.8410142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under57c33,422$19,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,371.5923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over40c7,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.0536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7625…78dbbacked Over43c4,663$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Under56c3,203$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.98038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under58c2,834$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.085,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under58c1,703$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.4119351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under56c1,660$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.511,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c1,563$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.032,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under58c1,037$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.722,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under59c986.58$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6714044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Over41c914.33$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.886541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under64c845.87$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Under57c838$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.341080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over40c790.79$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over42c758.59$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5917946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under57c690.68$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.995944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0acb…05c2backed Under57c636$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over50c604$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa476…5e6dbacked Under61c586.63$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.792070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+64.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under53c579.6$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0828651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed Over41c561.88$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.375253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under57c555$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over41c516$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5625355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2055255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x173f…e44dbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under57c498.24$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2410850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under57c483.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.927753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c462.78$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.487,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf85d…ab00backed Under64c448.44$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.444242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under57c407.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0211358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over42c399.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0399148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over41c362.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under72c345.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7226653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Under57c296.49$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.499047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under74c280.22$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over30c250.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.461,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2b…70efbacked Under64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3812564.8%81 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c225.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.531,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under60c220.45$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1831451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over49c191.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5315758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.837453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2521856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.259247.8%44 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over32c147$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.171,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over43c146.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.065844.8%26 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under62c124.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.368659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under58c121.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under57c116.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.374054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under49c113.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4366436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over42c94.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…f793backed Over27c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.577943%34 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c86.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.643,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…eaabbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c68.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.523,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9545238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Under58c59.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.984654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under57c57.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5750056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…65cebacked Over28c57.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under64c56.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c50.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc11c…8d8abacked Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.886361.9%39 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…1927backed Under59c42.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over41c37.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4549242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under58c37.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.645768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under58c35.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9117067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under45c32.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Under49c29.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+31.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf47f…15adbacked Over41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Over43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under53c28.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3160032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.678160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6733156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.528455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbf9…6801backed Over41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Under60c24.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7715751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c20.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Under58c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.