TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,178,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,058,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,178,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c196,352$19,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,805.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes11c170,421$19,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,026.0912210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes14c70,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes14c57,056$7,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,987.8256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Yes14c50,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes14c30,777$4,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,308.7911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes14c24,400$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,41638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes14c16,429$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes15c13,523$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.745824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes14c10,871$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5225034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b076backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417d…08f7backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes15c9,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes15c8,639$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2847429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c8,181$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.652,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007229.2%21 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes3c7,575$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1340912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes14c6,896$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.43378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c6,595$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9326729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes14c6,235$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.933915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78078317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes4c4,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes3c3,600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes14c3,561$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.941567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Yes14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes14c3,445$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.035817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes16c3,381$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.965217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes14c3,324$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes14c3,214$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cd…0888backed Yes14c2,806$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.84110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df9…468cbacked Yes6c2,726$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes0c2,600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10590%0 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes13c2,481$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4527236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes14c2,250$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31511914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004436.4%16 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes15c2,003$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes10c1,973$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7e…4f38backed Yes16c1,932$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004235.7%15 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes14c1,886$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes13c1,735$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5213118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes15c1,595$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7733235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes14c1,528$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21420816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes14c1,414$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9711641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes14c1,410$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010422.1%23 W · 81 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes16c1,395$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes13c1,385$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes14c1,382$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes15c1,378$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015936.5%58 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes8c1,335$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes14c1,279$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0638817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes15c1,264$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1888610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9029…7c5abacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…42acbacked Yes13c1,250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.52412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes6c1,247$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes14c1,128$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.975141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes2c1,116$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9712015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes4c1,075$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.662,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0916…643ebacked Yes14c1,064$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes14c1,034$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8112923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes16c996.94$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.515712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x220e…61fbbacked Yes4c925$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes9c916.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.38920.2%18 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c844$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.891,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5367…cbbabacked Yes14c842.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186512.3%8 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes14c812.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Yes13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes12c771.91$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.632,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes14c761.64$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf951…6ab4backed Yes13c747.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.