Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d3462f2447a70222adcac5c4401135ac5cdc3509c98ef0640138f49f2a9cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,178,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,058,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,178,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 196,352$19,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,805.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 170,421$19,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,026.09 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 14c | 70,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 57,056$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,987.82 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked Yes | 14c | 50,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 14c | 30,777$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.79 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 14c | 24,400$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 14c | 16,429$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 15c | 13,523$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.74 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 14c | 10,871$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b076backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 15c | 9,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,639$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 8,181$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.65 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 3c | 7,575$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 14c | 6,896$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.43 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 14c | 6,595$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,235$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.9 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…c232backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 14c | 3,561$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed Yes | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,445$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.03 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 16c | 3,381$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.96 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 14c | 3,324$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 14c | 3,214$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cd…0888backed Yes | 14c | 2,806$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,726$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 13c | 2,481$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 14c | 2,250$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…b5f0backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 10c | 1,973$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…4f38backed Yes | 16c | 1,932$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 14c | 1,886$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 13c | 1,735$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.52 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 15c | 1,595$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 14c | 1,528$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 14c | 1,414$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 14c | 1,410$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes | 16c | 1,395$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 13c | 1,385$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 14c | 1,382$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 15c | 1,378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 8c | 1,335$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,279$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,264$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9029…7c5abacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…42acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 6c | 1,247$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes | 14c | 1,128$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 2c | 1,116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,075$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…643ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,064$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 14c | 1,034$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 16c | 996.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 4c | 925$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Yes | 9c | 916.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 844$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…cbbabacked Yes | 14c | 842.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 14c | 812.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 14c | 785.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 771.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 14c | 761.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…6ab4backed Yes | 13c | 747.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.