Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6753436e555270ed8563d3f14a3e68ba03a93e792b65c7e8b34ecaf486fda15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,629,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,501,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 229,939$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 114,747$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.65 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 93,843$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 2c | 66,887$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.41 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Yes | 2c | 37,190$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 3c | 35,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 25,841$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.7 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…7751backed Yes | 3c | 25,154$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 3c | 20,693$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 3c | 18,234$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 3c | 14,744$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,337$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…168ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,586$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 2c | 8,531$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 2c | 8,399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…cb4ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,079$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 3c | 7,351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 6,883$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 2c | 6,081$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 5,975$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,870$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 2c | 5,492$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 4,366$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 2c | 4,081$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 5c | 4,049$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 2c | 3,917$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…f19abacked Yes | 3c | 3,862$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +709.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 3c | 3,677$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 3c | 3,584$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…ee87backed Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,391$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 2c | 3,113$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…927cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,788$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 2c | 2,480$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,361$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 2c | 2,278$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 2c | 2,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…0633backed Yes | 2c | 2,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 2c | 2,043$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…e5cbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,029$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 2c | 2,021$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 2c | 2,008$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…4cf5backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,911$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…8ab3backed Yes | 2c | 1,910$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,810$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,788$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,739$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 2c | 1,693$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,690$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,685$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…2763backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…d7aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,563$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…360dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,554$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…93cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,448$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,441$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…2dd8backed Yes | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 2c | 1,328$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,315$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…cb79backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Yes | 2c | 1,208$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 2c | 1,203$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…4ae5backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 5.9%4 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 2c | 1,190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 2c | 1,180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,174$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…3d31backed Yes | 3c | 1,154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…4134backed Yes | 2c | 1,129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…c335backed Yes | 3c | 1,108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…97bfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…6d14backed Yes | 3c | 1,080$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 2c | 1,059$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8114…d774backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 3c | 1,033$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 1,011$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,009$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…89a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4519…49e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 5.4%4 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…ae16backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…1ad2backed Yes | 3c | 990.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 2c | 973.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 2c | 871.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…eddebacked Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.