TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,629,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,501,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c229,939$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,770.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c114,747$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.6556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c93,843$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes2c66,887$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.4142710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Yes2c37,190$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.821127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes3c35,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c25,841$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd759…7751backed Yes3c25,154$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes3c20,693$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5348133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes3c18,234$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes3c14,744$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes3c11,337$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…168ebacked Yes2c10,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes2c9,586$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8814219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes2c8,531$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes2c8,399$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1685…cb4ebacked Yes2c8,079$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes3c7,351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes3c6,883$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.526618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes2c6,081$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c5,975$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes1c5,870$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.39590%0 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes2c5,492$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8327520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes2c4,762$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes2c4,366$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes2c4,081$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes5c4,049$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.428010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes2c3,917$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…f19abacked Yes3c3,862$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+709.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes3c3,677$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes3c3,584$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…ee87backed Yes3c3,448$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Yes2c3,391$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes2c3,113$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…927cbacked Yes3c2,788$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735127.5%14 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes2c2,480$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c2,361$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes2c2,278$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.671,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes2c2,260$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef5…0633backed Yes2c2,093$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.23812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes2c2,043$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9225228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad0…e5cbbacked Yes2c2,029$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7588…df60backed Yes2c2,021$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510711.2%12 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6962backed Yes2c2,008$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.117211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…4cf5backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes2c2,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes3c1,911$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc3…8ab3backed Yes2c1,910$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes3c1,810$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0620725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c1,800$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes4c1,788$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes2c1,739$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes2c1,693$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes2c1,690$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8711811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes2c1,685$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes3c1,600$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012611.9%15 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d9…2763backed Yes3c1,600$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c1…d7aabacked Yes2c1,563$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Yes2c1,554$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.096923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbcbb…93cfbacked Yes3c1,448$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes3c1,441$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0351228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa0…2dd8backed Yes2c1,429$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes2c1,328$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.731,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes2c1,315$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58a…6b63backed Yes2c1,304$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011715.4%18 W · 99 L-0.5wins0.00per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6d…f161backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305311.3%6 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes2c1,208$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes2c1,203$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes2c1,190$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes2c1,180$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3247321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Yes2c1,174$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…4134backed Yes2c1,129$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8e…c335backed Yes3c1,108$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…97bfbacked Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257613.2%10 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa026…6d14backed Yes3c1,080$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279827.6%27 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes2c1,059$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8114…d774backed Yes2c1,046$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0580%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes3c1,033$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes2c1,011$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25967.3%7 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c3…814bbacked Yes2c1,009$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9a…89a5backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234040%16 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4519…49e4backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254910.2%5 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f5…ae16backed Yes2c999.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148f…1ad2backed Yes3c990.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes2c973.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3924246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes2c900$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes2c871.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…eddebacked Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208116%13 W · 68 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.