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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$621,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c120,310$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes2c21,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes2c14,583$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes2c13,799$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.392187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes2c12,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2768714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes2c9,363$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9914219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes2c8,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c8,314$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c7,681$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c7,272$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.152,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes5c5,275$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6859…d79abacked Yes2c4,463$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes2c4,256$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.491,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes2c4,203$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6612117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x752e…bfacbacked Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a9…ee87backed Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cd…ed48backed Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Yes2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes2c4,093$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a2…b9a3backed Yes1c3,355$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92020%4 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c32…36b0backed Yes3c2,774$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.912050%10 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes2c2,355$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c2,340$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes2c2,279$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2253…4b5abacked Yes2c2,174$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes3c2,009$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8133235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6962backed Yes2c2,005$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.117211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes2c2,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes1c2,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86515.4%10 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c1,920$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1635110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes2c1,750$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.257431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d9…2763backed Yes2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf8…4103backed Yes2c1,658$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes2c1,625$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc53a…f1d0backed Yes2c1,304$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303810.5%4 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+107.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes2c1,291$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116a…8356backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30200%0 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes2c1,248$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ef…9b2fbacked Yes2c1,248$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes2c1,227$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28967.3%7 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes2c1,174$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes2c1,087$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259612.5%12 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes2c1,079$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…c086backed Yes2c1,076$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25414.9%2 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd693…f12ebacked Yes1c1,064$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes2c1,050$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Yes2c999.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes2c916.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…da30backed Yes2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…eca4backed Yes2c895.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206619.7%13 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4670…1d36backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c3…814bbacked Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-65%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09c7…2f89backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20254%1 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick10cpaid+90.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbb…93cfbacked Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f3…913dbacked Yes2c833.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156118%11 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa5…0e06backed Yes2c805.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5534…eb60backed Yes3c792.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015120.5%31 W · 120 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes2c778.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa256…859ebacked Yes2c767.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+247.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes2c766.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a41…d56fbacked Yes3c758$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes2c749.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7987938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes2c709.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes2c700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.846319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes2c700$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…adcfbacked Yes2c652.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516916%27 W · 142 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes2c625$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes2c625$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes2c608.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c602.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.953920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes2c580.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes2c541.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134015%6 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219219.8%38 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Yes2c499.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3925…d2f2backed Yes3c488.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14352.9%1 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-84.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…d0febacked Yes2c477.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a4…68debacked Yes2c455$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Yes2c427.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a3…ea92backed Yes2c408.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106230.6%19 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26d…2f8ebacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+203%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b21…b8debacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108912.4%11 W · 78 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.