Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522eb1b96fd4985d9707c7ee8e66cf3116b617c37b825e605d8b48d8adf6ab5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $621,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $595,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 120,310$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 2c | 21,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 2c | 14,583$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,799$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.39 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 2c | 12,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,363$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 8,314$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 7,681$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 7,272$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 5c | 5,275$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…d79abacked Yes | 2c | 4,463$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 2c | 4,256$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…bfacbacked Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…ee87backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…ed48backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 2c | 4,093$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…b9a3backed Yes | 1c | 3,355$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…36b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,774$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 2c | 2,355$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 2,340$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 2,279$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2253…4b5abacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 2,009$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 2c | 2,005$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,920$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…2763backed Yes | 2c | 1,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…4103backed Yes | 2c | 1,658$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,625$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 1,364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f1d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,291$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…8356backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 2c | 1,248$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9b2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 1,227$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,174$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…c086backed Yes | 2c | 1,076$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd693…f12ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,064$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…360dbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 2c | 916.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…da30backed Yes | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…eca4backed Yes | 2c | 895.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…1d36backed Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…2f89backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…93cfbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…913dbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…0e06backed Yes | 2c | 805.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Yes | 3c | 792.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 20.5%31 W · 120 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 2c | 778.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…859ebacked Yes | 2c | 767.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 2c | 766.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…d56fbacked Yes | 3c | 758$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 2c | 749.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 2c | 709.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…adcfbacked Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 16%27 W · 142 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes | 2c | 625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 5.4%4 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes | 2c | 608.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 2c | 602.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 580.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes | 2c | 541.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…d2f2backed Yes | 3c | 488.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…d0febacked Yes | 2c | 477.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…68debacked Yes | 2c | 455$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…25a8backed Yes | 2c | 427.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a3…ea92backed Yes | 2c | 408.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…2f8ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…b8debacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 12.4%11 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.