Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c38d35a4448a77118c1a7dd93036791255d7cd4b152126fbdb91389626e50c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 22,391$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.29 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 15,295$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 8c | 11,456$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.48 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 9c | 9,289$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…da42backed Yes | 3c | 6,883$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 8c | 1,353$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,346$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…79b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,302$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 2c | 1,266$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 9c | 1,125$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,072$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 680$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 9c | 622.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…6fabbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…9491backed Yes | 9c | 533.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…2763backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…0637backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…725bbacked Yes | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 8c | 342.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…1f47backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…33febacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…bb8dbacked Yes | 9c | 322.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…2233backed Yes | 9c | 322.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…617fbacked Yes | 9c | 311.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Yes | 7c | 272.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…9e43backed Yes | 9c | 266.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 9c | 249.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…b409backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 18%23 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…8970backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303d…a12abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…d56fbacked Yes | 7c | 198.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…67d4backed Yes | 9c | 183.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 13.8%21 W · 131 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…e6babacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…9962backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 8c | 130.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfea…bc75backed Yes | 9c | 114.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.