TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,343,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,266,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,343,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c194,052$22,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,882.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes12c100,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c98,929$11,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,653.892,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes11c79,999$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.9238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c44,509$5,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.0856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes12c41,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes12c20,833$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes12c20,000$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.0430214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes12c15,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c14,010$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.0835514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes11c13,805$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c10,928$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10017416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes12c9,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes0c7,151$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c7,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c6,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…0145backed Yes12c5,833$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes2c4,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes11c4,718$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.741,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes12c4,650$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5587349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes13c4,367$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes12c3,605$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5556022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c05…1d1dbacked Yes12c3,533$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes10c3,183$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes0c2,700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13590%0 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Yes12c2,583$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c2,479$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.56729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes11c2,470$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes12c2,417$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes12c2,283$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27418128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…cb4ebacked Yes12c2,213$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes12c2,208$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes11c2,207$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes4c2,108$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.972,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes12c1,988$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.689727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes12c1,842$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes12c1,833$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes12c1,825$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes12c1,800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes11c1,780$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.791,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes11c1,779$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes10c1,750$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes12c1,747$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes12c1,717$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0438817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…34febacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…8139backed Yes11c1,587$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.561612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+51%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes13c1,564$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20611414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8546…4e69backed Yes12c1,553$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.383119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes12c1,528$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.32826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc76…0738backed Yes12c1,390$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes11c1,389$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes12c1,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes14c1,322$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.329017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes10c1,263$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2640515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes10c1,250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.58610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0916…643ebacked Yes12c1,242$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes11c1,120$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.26320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes12c1,100$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13221429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes12c1,090$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.830215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…bb28backed Yes12c1,049$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.84378.1%3 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-78.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes12c1,014$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6323944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9071…4dc0backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120205%1 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9265…5731backed Yes12c993.93$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.27119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dac…dcd9backed Yes12c954.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108223.2%19 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes12c916.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5963…0750backed Yes11c895.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.564112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.