TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,227,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,084,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c226,609$7,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,925.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes4c114,937$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,070.1556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c108,134$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes4c25,555$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.0942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes3c15,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes5c10,281$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes4c10,010$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3515226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes3c10,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a31…168ebacked Yes4c9,999$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa984…36d0backed Yes4c9,068$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.31030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes4c6,609$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3335514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes4c6,251$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.526618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes4c5,516$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes4c5,263$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd9…077cbacked Yes4c5,102$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.571330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes4c5,066$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes4c4,925$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.37349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes4c4,857$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.398010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes1c4,600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4590%0 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c4,161$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes3c3,800$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.427811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes3c3,691$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes4c3,362$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes4c2,908$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Yes4c2,857$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes4c2,857$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes4c2,851$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes4c2,778$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa65…908bbacked Yes4c2,778$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes3c2,770$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.253119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c2,747$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…874fbacked Yes4c2,740$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x417d…08f7backed Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes4c2,703$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes4c2,702$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5963…0750backed Yes4c2,675$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes4c2,664$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes4c2,632$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes4c2,564$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes4c2,531$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412d…18c5backed Yes4c2,500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes3c2,396$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.667613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes5c2,186$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes3c2,120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0814219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c2,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7438817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes3c1,866$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.681,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes1c1,802$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.253917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes3c1,594$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes3c1,588$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…44bebacked Yes4c1,587$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.148714.9%13 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes3c1,571$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x729e…4cf5backed Yes4c1,500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes4c1,426$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508920.2%18 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e7…afddbacked Yes4c1,392$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.024020%8 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Yes2c1,388$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.646923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes4c1,377$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes4c1,368$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509123.1%21 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50773.9%3 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes3c1,351$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9330214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes4c1,341$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes4c1,316$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes4c1,301$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe815…7459backed Yes4c1,299$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.08166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes4c1,282$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes4c1,220$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9235110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes4c1,200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.818929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes4c1,193$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3751228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…b81abacked Yes4c1,164$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424810.4%5 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ca…cda0backed Yes3c1,143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+354.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes4c1,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes4c1,103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes4c1,100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d9…2763backed Yes4c1,089$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…4134backed Yes4c1,086$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c1,074$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes4c1,053$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf3…bd6fbacked Yes4c1,053$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes4c1,019$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3635612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37653.1%2 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9071…4dc0backed Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34205%1 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes4c999.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.995012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebf…d927backed Yes4c994.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes4c939.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbf…c5adbacked Yes4c937.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Yes4c935$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.334124.4%10 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes4c931.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes4c921.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8e…c335backed Yes3c905.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes4c902.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.76729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545a…424bbacked Yes4c888.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32303.3%1 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021623.1%50 W · 166 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8327…ef4abacked Yes4c880.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.333613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes4c857.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.