Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e431bb61894ace9dc546e8a1d7e09dea201e6d33992fbfb22018757c1e02d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 99,790$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 6c | 57,636$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.19 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 7c | 42,857$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 6c | 38,333$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 37,975$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 6c | 26,631$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.86 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 6c | 11,210$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 7c | 4,264$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 7c | 3,810$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…cb12backed Yes | 6c | 3,050$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…3132backed Yes | 7c | 2,214$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 6c | 2,050$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 6c | 1,683$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…b81abacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…0750backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…5731backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,613$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,488$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…34febacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…c7c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 6c | 1,284$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 1,223$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,219$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…2b2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 1,053$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 6c | 1,031$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…a7c7backed Yes | 7c | 994.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 6c | 988.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…44bebacked Yes | 6c | 952.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…6fb3backed Yes | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…dcb2backed Yes | 3c | 859.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 855.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes | 6c | 838.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…f143backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 818.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 753.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…7459backed Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 6c | 680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…8a60backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 8c | 647.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 6c | 590$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…0d9bbacked Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…4707backed Yes | 3c | 576.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…2763backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 555$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 7c | 535.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…8028backed Yes | 7c | 525$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 6c | 514.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.