Dota2 · resolved market
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66f22ee4b8dbf9ba079a5ceb3e9e36b1118262d9629b41082cedbf948a7bb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 5c | 5,181$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked No | 28c | 3,723$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 21c | 3,257$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 77c | 2,286$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.69 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Yes | 74c | 1,858$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.34 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 16c | 1,728$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed No | 29c | 1,580$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.19 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,571$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.96 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 71c | 1,540$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.49 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 24c | 1,292$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 11c | 1,145$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 21c | 841.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes | 72c | 642.2$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 19c | 639$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 28c | 569.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 77c | 536$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 11c | 500.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 27c | 482.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 10c | 386.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed No | 27c | 369.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 24c | 313.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 72c | 298.61$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Yes | 77c | 259.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed No | 27c | 220$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 77c | 206.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Yes | 74c | 203.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 29c | 201.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 77c | 197.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked No | 9c | 169.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 7c | 139.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 72c | 136.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 73c | 135.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…c13fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 26c | 131.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 71c | 113.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 13c | 101.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 26c | 87.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 29c | 83.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Yes | 72c | 80.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Yes | 72c | 77.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4381…2588backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 72c | 68.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…1752backed Yes | 76c | 66.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…54e5backed No | 29c | 54.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 27c | 53.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…c694backed Yes | 77c | 48.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Yes | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 75c | 47.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Yes | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…19ddbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3715…3704backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes | 72c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Yes | 76c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…0fa8backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…a895backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ae1fbacked Yes | 71c | 16.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…75cebacked Yes | 72c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?this page
- Inner Circle to win 2-0?No won
- LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.