TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Alex Molcan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Sebastian Baez70c6,399$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.7167249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sebastian Baez59c5,598$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.471,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Sebastian Baez56c5,402$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.2565651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Sebastian Baez60c4,904$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.942343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Molcan21c4,902$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.178,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Alex Molcan43c4,892$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2a…ee9abacked Sebastian Baez61c4,369$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.15742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez56c3,571$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.965,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan27c2,768$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.444,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Alex Molcan23c2,556$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.461,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Molcan13c2,470$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.273,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan44c2,361$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.734,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan22c2,275$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.36,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alex Molcan42c2,239$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Alex Molcan41c2,185$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.861,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alex Molcan41c2,178$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.632,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Molcan38c2,096$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.863,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Alex Molcan12c1,628$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Alex Molcan46c1,500$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4829146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Sebastian Baez77c1,288$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0463556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Alex Molcan41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.223143.3%100 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alex Molcan40c1,120$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Alex Molcan40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40043943.7%192 W · 247 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Molcan38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Baez64c988.53$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.872,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Sebastian Baez62c878.91$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3133540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Alex Molcan41c840.69$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Alex Molcan42c832.36$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9269051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Sebastian Baez60c819.53$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.553253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Sebastian Baez62c799.02$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.634617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Alex Molcan23c793.2$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alex Molcan41c784.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.367,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Alex Molcan38c753.45$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3156927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alex Molcan8c750.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.492,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Molcan40c673$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.037,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Alex Molcan26c666.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Sebastian Baez55c651.19$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0411554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Alex Molcan40c616.29$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6849942.3%211 W · 288 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alex Molcan40c616.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.354,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alex Molcan45c599.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.877,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Sebastian Baez71c565.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3416055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Molcan12c556.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.382,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e6…0896backed Sebastian Baez55c523.43$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.882454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Sebastian Baez54c512.94$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Alex Molcan44c512$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2881047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Sebastian Baez69c507.61$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.611,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Alex Molcan40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alex Molcan45c500$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.932,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Sebastian Baez60c491.8$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.721,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Molcan45c479$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.553,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alex Molcan4c467.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.382,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Sebastian Baez71c442$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Alex Molcan23c397.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4653655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Molcan19c385$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.652,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alex Molcan17c370.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.052,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Alex Molcan44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15438144.6%170 W · 211 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Sebastian Baez58c349$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0892046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Sebastian Baez78c347.35$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4636545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan6c332.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Alex Molcan40c322.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Sebastian Baez60c316.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6722338.6%86 W · 137 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Alex Molcan40c312.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Sebastian Baez62c308.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6433163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Alex Molcan41c297.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.11,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Alex Molcan41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12068139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alex Molcan43c288.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alex Molcan19c278.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9466834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Alex Molcan34c273.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Sebastian Baez74c265.03$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Molcan27c261.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.678,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Sebastian Baez77c259$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5711059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Alex Molcan46c254.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11719343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Alex Molcan41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Alex Molcan45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.517639.8%70 W · 106 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Alex Molcan40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042841.6%178 W · 250 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Alex Molcan33c229.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Baez76c223.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.581,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Alex Molcan45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Sebastian Baez70c211.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4323047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Sebastian Baez69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alex Molcan44c199.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.432,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Sebastian Baez77c193.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Sebastian Baez76c190.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.361,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Sebastian Baez55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8230749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Alex Molcan11c177.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Alex Molcan42c169.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9750351.5%259 W · 244 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Alex Molcan30c166.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Sebastian Baez60c166.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.47955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a0…1783backed Sebastian Baez60c164.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alex Molcan15c156$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alex Molcan43c154.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.251,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sebastian Baez80c152.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.131,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Alex Molcan45c151$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9586050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Alex Molcan32c150.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4914645.9%67 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Alex Molcan40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Sebastian Baez69c145.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Sebastian Baez60c142.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.811040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Sebastian Baez54c141.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.24233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4f…3b35backed Sebastian Baez71c140.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Alex Molcan45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.