Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1138582ff2215cc2cd6693cc0ad2a9955bd2ac519dd4c208de8d92b4f8893d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x594d…059dbacked No | 66c | 3,713$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…ee9abacked No | 66c | 2,696$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 1,591$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,097$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 675.26$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 639.01$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 592.43$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 61c | 395.34$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 243.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 37c | 171.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 159.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 39c | 153.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 33c | 108.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…d49bbacked No | 67c | 108.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 95.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…b3ffbacked No | 65c | 93.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 27c | 88.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 84.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 74.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…4917backed No | 67c | 74.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…1783backed No | 67c | 74.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ee…3b01backed No | 67c | 72.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 38c | 68.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…56f6backed No | 66c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 50.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked No | 60c | 50.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…9ebcbacked No | 67c | 46.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…8ff2backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Yes | 30c | 39.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…b930backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 65c | 38.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…4dacbacked No | 67c | 36.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 35.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…3d1ebacked No | 66c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…bb08backed No | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 66c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…9dc1backed No | 67c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.